Siege of Kolkata under Deep Depression with Cyclone Alert. Damp Diwali! Spineless Bull Wrshipped in Vain and PM, FM and Gang World Bank IMF fail to

Microbial Siege of Kolkata under Deep Depression with Cyclone Alert. Damp Diwali! Spineless Bull Wrshipped in Vain and PM, FM and Gang World Bank IMF fail to Assure FREE FALL Prone Periphery Economy! Asia Eyes Key Stake in New Global Financial System.Left to PM: Reconsider Policies if You Want Our Support.PM Returns the volley: No Industrialisation at the Expense of Farmers!


Troubled Galaxy Destroyed Dreams: Chapter 94

Palash Biswas


Fresh News
RBI wants lower deposit rates to aid loans
Hindustan Times - 2 hours ago
The Reserve Bank wants depositors to get less, so that borrowers can get loans cheaper. It wants public sector banks to reduce interest rates on deposits.
RBI cancels license of SK Patil Bank Financial Express
RBI allays fears of a recession Hindu
Moneycontrol.com - Times of India - Reuters India - Economic Times
all 249 news articles »




Rediff
The message RBI missed
Livemint - 42 minutes ago
The reason for the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) masterly inactivity last Friday was presumably because the central bank believes the measures it had taken to add to liquidity, such as the cuts in the cash reserve ratio (CRR), the special repo ...
Repo cut to lower interest rates Economic Times
Don't expect rate cut, says SBI chief Business Standard
Sify - Moneycontrol.com - Economic Times - Moneycontrol.com
all 536 news articles » BOM:500112




Sify
Gold sales shoots up phenomenally in this festive season
Livemint - 5 hours ago
PTI New Delhi: Gold sales have picked up phenomenally after a fall in its prices to 12000-level following consistent steep fall in equity markets which has boosted the demand for the metal as a safe investment option.
Gold loses shine on firm dollar and falling crude Economic Times
No eclipse on tola during this Diwali Times of India
NDTV.com - Hindu Business Line - Hindustan Times - Press Trust of India

For marketers, no Diwali cheer this year
Livemint, India - 20 minutes ago
This year, both Dussehra and Diwali are in October and Hero Honda decided to go for the jugular. But, Krishnan, a sales manager at Himgiri Automobiles, ...
Light a diya, celebrate Diwali with TOI Times of India
Light diyas with Times at NCR bazaars Times of India

Flash is the name of the game, happy diwali!
Livemint, India - 8 hours ago
“How can you not play cards in the Diwali month?” said a young colleague who was introduced to a card playing group a week ago and says is now hopelessly ...
Patta dos hit by meltdown Times of India
all 2 news articles »

The Great Indian Left parties known for betrayals and ideological hypocricy as best portrayed by the Marxist speaker in Person, on Sunday virtually rejected Washington Planted super slave Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's desire to work with them in future and asked him to reverse his government's economic policies. While West bengal is well inflicted by Chikungunya, dengue cases in Kolkata, surrounding areas! Privatisation and capturegame in mediacl sector alone reflect the Marxist reality of socialism! How may they persuade Same Side to a Governance Culture of corporate americanism?

Is it possible any way? When financially shell-shocked American consumers postpone purchases of big-ticket durable goods — such as automobiles and kitchen appliances — steelmakers are sure to feel the pain. A loss of consumer confidence in recent weeks has caused steelmakers’ orders to soften, and the price of their products to slide. And the War Criminal turns a marxist poster Boy!Already, ArcelorMittal, the largest steelmaker on the planet and one of the more aggressive players in the industry, has announced plans to cut its total production by up to 15 percent.

And what about the Marxist capitalist Highway of Development based on SEZ, Chemical Hubs, Nuclear Parks, Retail chain, Realty Boom, Privatised Services, disinvested and closed industries, retrenched and straving workers, displaced killed Peasants in Marxist ruled states in India?

Farmers should be appropriately compensated when their land is acquired for setting up industries, Singh returned the Volley very well against the marxists, when asked to comment on the Nano controversy On Board PM's Special Aircraft returning Home! India must industrialise to realise its destiny but such efforts should not come at the expense of the nation's farmers, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said.Talking to reporters after his return from the 7th ASEM summit Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said he had a fruitful meeting with Pakistan Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gilani. Dr Singh said “We discussed all issues having a bearing on our bilateral relations and I would say that there was a complete meeting of mind.” He added that, “Pakistan is in serious difficulties. India is ready to support Pakistan in getting help from IMF.” On being asked about his meeting with Chinese President Hu Jintao Dr Singh said, “India and China will remain in contact over the current financial turmoil and will work with like-minded countries to find practical and pragmatic solution.”


Singh said India needs to be industrialised to find solutions facing the nation.

"Let me say that India needs to industrialise, without industrialisation we cannot find solutions to our employment or development problems.

"The real issue is what are the terms on which the land is acquired. It should not be acquired at prices which keep the farmers dissatisfied," Singh told reporters accompanying him to Japan and China.

Singh said he felt ‘sad’ because a lot of efforts were already made by Tata in setting up the Nano plant in West Bengal.

There should be an increasing attempt to reward the farmer appropriately," he said, suggesting that efforts should also be made to give them a stake in the enterprises which come into existence on the land that is acquired.

The rehabilitation policy, the amendment to the Land Acquisition Act, the Bill is before Parliament.

"I would like that this is not an issue which should create fiction and division among parties, because India must industrialise to realise its destiny," he said.

"The only thing is industrialisation cannot be on the backs of the poor farmers. They should be given remunerative compensation wherever land is acquired," he added.


It is raining in Kolkata and all over south Bengal since last evening continuously! A wet, not crackling, Diwali is the Met office forecast with a warning of heavy rain in Calcutta and the districts in the next 48 hours!A depression over the Bay of Bengal triggered widespread rains and squally winds in coastal Orissa on Saturday with weather officials forecasting downpour at some places in the next two days. The low pressure area, which developed yesterday over the west-central Bay of Bengal intensified into a depression and lay centred about 400 km south of Paradip, meteorological department sources here said. Heavy to very heavy rains were likely to occur at isolated places over the coastal areas in the next 48 hours and thundershowers at some places in interior Orissa, they said.

KOLKATA, the City of Joy already sufferd a Damp Durgapuja despite PUJA Countdown of Fifty days with Feel America! Now it is MICROBIAL Siege within. A Camus of Plague could have painted the Human Scape so Gloomy and helpless! Nevertheless, Stock may be in freefall, but bullion is buoyant. A combination of the festive sentiment, a fall in the price of gold and the lack of other trustworthy options is bringing the middle-class Indian back to the jeweller. The glitter of the yellow metal has always held an appeal, but there is renewed interest with the price falling from a peak of Rs 14,500 per per 10 gm or per tola on October 8 to Rs 11,500 on October 24.

The Meteorological Department here is all set to issue a cyclone warning for the coastal region of West Bengal as the depression, formed in the Bay of Bengal yesterday, intensified on Sunday, holding out the threat of a wet Diwali and Kali Puja.

The weathermen have predicted heavy to very heavy rainfall, accompanied by squally winds reaching a speed of upto 55-66 kmph, in gangetic West Bengal and the coastal region for the next 48 hours as the 'deep depression' lying 460 km south-west of the city showed no signs of weakening, the Regional Met Director Dr G C Debnath told PTI here on Sunday.

"We are issuing a cyclone alert for the coastal region because the wind speed may reach 75 kmph in the later part of the day. Fishermen have been advised not to venture out into the sea," Debanth said.

Kali Puja and Diwali seem to be DAMP in Kolkata. Idols were being shifted to the Pandals before two days ironically the Pandals remain still incomplete. My locality Gosthokanan in Sodepur is celebrating Golden Jubille of Kali Puja and the boys are doing their best to erect the panadal round the clock. The landscape and human scape remains the same everywhere in south Bengal, metro Kolkata and suburban areas around. Barasat and naihati boast of their special effects but the rain has spoilt everything.

Any Fever may be Fatal! As the thirty years of Left Marxist rule in West Bengal has killed the Health Service. Health sector is an ingredient part of the Marxist Gestapo. you may suffer from anything but no doctor is capable to diagnoise!This season, vector-borne diseases have killed eleven people in the city, though the Kolkata Municipal Corporation puts the figure at eight After dengue, malignant malaria and Japanese Encephalitis panic, Kolkata is in the grip of a new killer disease — Meningoencephalitis.



At home, I am feeling the panges of Mass suffering as Savita is unwell once again with various complaints. We are depending on Homeo medicines for the time being and never know where to go as Savita discovered her mouth pained this morning and it turned out to be a suspected Tumer! very small, still dangerous!

The mosquito sting has claimed yet another victim.

A 28-year-old Tollygunge resident died of meningoencephalitis — a mosquito-borne disease like malaria, dengue and Japanese encephalitis — at MR Bangur Hospital on Friday.

Sailendra Kumar Chowdhury is the ninth victim of a vector-borne disease this season, going by the state health department’s records. Or seventh, if the civic body’s figures are to be believed.

The student of computer programming had been suffering from high fever for the past four days. He was taken to SSKM Hospital on Thursday night when he complained of severe abdominal pain.

A Dengue case was detected in West Bengal's Bankura district on Friday, Health department sources said.

Subodh Narsariya (42), a resident of Bankura town was suffering from fever for the last few days. His blood tests confirmed that he was suffering from Dengue, sources said.

Narsariya has been admitted to a nursing home in Bankura town, where he is undergoing treatment, sources added.


Kolkata Municipal Corporation (KMC) seems to be fighting a losing battle against the spread of vector-borne diseases. Sujata Ghosh (33) of Behala’s Jaysree Park died of an unknown fever on Saturday morning. She had been suffering from high fever since Wednesday.

Ghosh died within a couple of hours of being admitted to Vidyasagar Hospital on Saturday morning. According to South 24-Parganas chief medical officer of health, Sacchidananda Sarkar, she was being treated by a local physician and did not get her blood tested till she was hospitalised.

Unlike Ghosh, Arun Mandal, a 32-year-old security guard, got admitted to NRS Medical College and Hospital after testing positive for malignant malaria three days ago. He succumbed to the dreaded disease on Saturday morning.

In fact, Mandal’s death was the sixth from malignant malaria in the past two months. More than 1,500 people have been diagnosed with carrying the germs of this deadly disease, the KMC health department sources said.

After Japanese Encephalitis, it is now the turn of meningoencephalitis. Sailendra Singh (18) of Tollygunge Road succumbed to the deadly
disease at M R Bangur Hospital on Friday morning.

According to hospital sources, Sailendra was admitted on Thursday night with symptoms of encephalitis. His condition deteriorated later. Though Singh’s family members alleged inaction on the part of hospital authorities, a doctor at M R Bangur said that when Sailendra had been brought to the hospital, the disease was at an advanced stage.



Wose is the Business as markets now may not resist FREE FALL despite assurances of PM, FM, FINMIN, RBI and the gangsters of world bank and IMF. more than Rs. One Lac corore have been pumped into the Market to feed the Greedy Money machine corporate and foreign. Indian Incs of the Periphery plunge in deep American love. Spineless BULL is worshipped in Vain! Diwali brings no HAPPINESS this time despite Happy Diwali Greetings from the Warmonger george BUSh! The economic slowdown has dampened the festive mood this season, with even business houses slashing their budget for corporate gifting by almost 25 per cent. According to an industry estimate, the festive gifting market, largely unorganised, is estimated at Rs 4,500 crore(nearly $ 1 billion).

Asian leaders now will find the first global summit on the current financial turmoil a perfect venue to demand a key stake for the region in any new international financial system, experts say. As Europe and the United States clash over their leadership role in framing a new international financial architecture at the November 15 meeting in Washington, Asians feel they have much of a stake in the stability of the global system as the industrialized countries, the experts said.

Five days after Chandrayaan-I shot off successfully into space from Sriharikota, the spacecraft is now a step closer to the moon. According to the command control at ISRO, Chandrayaan's liquid engine was fired for 550 seconds on Sunday morning at approximately 7am. The firing was meant to put the satellite closer to its destination -- that is the moon's elliptical orbit. The spacecraft which is reportedly in good health has covered 1,64,600km since it was launched. In a historic feat, Chandrayaan-I was launched on October 22, 2008 from the Satish Dhawan Space Centre in Sriharikota.

Why, we are a Hindu Zionist Superpower, Two in One, coupled with corporate Imperialist white Amrica! The Brahaminical hegemony is quite justified to celebrate the Risilience so! But the majority enslaved Black Untouchables indigenous communities and the Minorities have to heavy Price for this brahaminical resurgence unprecedented!

But the Facts are Facts at last!

Datas remain Datas!

The xxxxx Sensex enjoying infinite copulation airconditioned have expsed lot of the Hegemony Dirty Skin as The meltdown at the bourse washed away a big chunk from the market valuation of corporate behemoth Reliance Industries even as others like IT major Infosys Technologies and diversified conglomerate ITC Ltd managed to swim against the tide.

The bloodbath on the bourses has wiped off a whopping Rs 1.50 trillion from market valuations of country's of 10 most valued firms in the past week, with Reliance Industries suffering the worst blow.

Meanwhile, IT, Housing, Infrastructure, Banking, Insurance, Realty, Construction, Service, Tourism, Airlines, Auto, Durable Consumer goods,Steel,Oil, Chemicals, Capital goods tend to FREE FALL !

It is quite ironical that the Greatest Communist of Modern times turns to be the President of capitalist Imperialist America, the War Monger George Bush who replicates the Bran Buddha, the Marxist ways of capitalism ditto!

Wonder of wonder is the fact that Indian Private sector, the Americanised Corporates and MNCs now demand more regulation and more nationalisation in a bid to break an escape Route out of the financial Tsunami!

What the Hell brekas in the Periphery Indian economy!

Eleven thousand Corores have been withdrawn by the FIIs!

Common Masses lost faith in Mutual fund. The withdrwal amounts to more than Thirty thousand!

Industry lobby recommends interest rate cut!

Leading industry body Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) Sunday came up with a set of recommendations, including further cut in key i
nterest rates, to help the economy tide over the current financial crisis.

"It is necessary to further reduce repo rate by at least 50 basis points and in CRR (cash reserve ratio) by 150 bps to ensure adequate liquidity and reasonable cost of funding," the chamber said in a statement.

According to CII director general Chandrajit Banerjee, Indian economy faces five major problems - inadequate liquidity, high cost of capital, non-availability of credit, instability in foreign exchange markets and low levels of confidence.

"All these five are inter-linked. We are already seeing the impact of these on the manufacturing sector and soon we are likely to see its impact on other sectors too, particularly in the services sector," Banerjee added.

"In addition, there is a requirement for provisioning of liquidity to mutual fund and NBFC (non-banking financial company) sectors, to enable orderly operation of financial markets," the statement said.

The CII has also urged the government to guarantee all bank deposits for a two-year period to maintain depositor confidence in the banking sector.

Expressing concern about the depreciating rupee, the CII made four specific suggestions - focused exchange rate management to prevent volatility without reducing rupee liquidity, relaxation of foreign investment norms, utilisation of foreign exchange reserves for meeting foreign currency needs, and removal of the cap on non-resident external and foreign currency non-resident deposits.

The key problem that industry is facing is the drying up of credit in the system. The CII has suggested a special corpus fund for lending to small and medium enterprises and speedy release of government funds for various projects.


How worse is the situation!

The combined market cap of the elite club saw an erosion of Rs 1,50,730 crore in the past week, dropping to Rs 8,94,000 crore from the previous week's Rs 10,44,000 crore.

With the market going for a free-fall last week, the country's most valued firm Reliance Industries lost Rs 45,600 crore in its market value dipping below the crucial Rs 2,00,000-crore mark.

RIL, which announced its second quarter results last week, registered its profit up by 7.4% at Rs 4,122 crore, while its revenue rose by 39.4% to Rs 44,938 crore.

Shares of RIL plummeted for three days in row last week to settle at Rs 1,015.50 on BSE on Friday, wiping off as much as Rs 29,038 crore or about 16% of its market value in a single day.

However, Infosys defied negative market trend and managed to add Rs 2,645 crore to its market cap of Rs 71,491 crore at the end of Friday's trading last week. ITC gained Rs 245 crore to stand at Rs 60,019 crore.

Notwithstanding the fall in valuation, however, Mukesh Ambani-led firm stood at the numero-uno position with Rs 1,59,818 crore of market cap on Friday, against Rs 2,05,419 crore in the week-ago period.

Here you are!

It may prove the best joke of the season Diwali! Gamble, dear gamble! They have made the Indian nation a royal casino!

India would not see recession, even if the international situation remained uncertain, said RBI governor D Subbarao on Saturday. However,
he added that the growth momentum would be more moderate if the global financial crisis continued.

"First if there is a recession (outside India), our exports will be hurt. And the longer the recession, the deeper the hurt," Subbarao said. While ruling out a decoupling suggestion he, nevertheless, claimed that if at all any large economy could decouple from the advanced countries, it would be India with its deep domestic demand and consumption base.

Pegging GDP growth for 2008-09 at 7.5-8%, he said, this was "our best growth estimate", even though there were other estimates ranging from 7.2-8.7%. India had grown at 9% in 2007-08. Justifying RBI's cautious credit policy announced on Friday, Subbarao said that as a central bank, it had to balance growth and financial stability with price stability.

Between October 6 and 20, the RBI injected Rs 1,85,000 crore liquidity into the system and "the one per cent repo rate cut was aimed at getting the financial markets going," he explained.

If the situation warranted, RBI wouldn't hesitate to infuse or withdraw liquidity from the system, he said.

It happens quite a reveres against the FINMIN and RBI claims!

Diwali may prove the best Mirror of the Indian Economy. Consumer Durable Goods and Capital goods have been the base of the Great indian Growth story!
And now?

Sales of consumer durables this festive season will see a downward trend on account of a severe credit crunch and the stock market crash,
experts and traders said here on Friday.

"Liquidity will certainly increase due to the CRR (cash reserve ratio) reduction, but the PLR (prime lending rate) has still not changed, which will deter people from taking loans from banks unless it is unavoidable," Delhi University Professor of Economics Shri Ram Khanna told reporters.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Friday further cut CRR by 100 basis points, which means it will leave the banks with more money to lend in the market.

CRR is the amount of funds banks have to keep with RBI against their deposits. If the central bank decides to increase this amount, funds available with the banks come down, while if it is reduced - as was the case Friday - banks are left with more disposable money.

In India, sales of consumer durables such as refrigerators and air-conditioners increase during the festive season beginning end-September and early October.

However, following a severe liquidity crunch this year in the aftermath of a global meltdown and stock market crash, sales of these goods are likely to be hit hard.

Moreover, with the PLR remaining unchanged, people are not inclined to take loans from banks.

PLR is the benchmark rate at which banks lend money.

"People will not borrow from banks to buy refrigerators or AC when there is double digit interest on them," Khanna said.

Increasing instances of terrorist activities is also deterring consumers from shopping, he added.

Praveen Khandelwal, secretary general of Confederation of All India Traders (Cait), echoed the sentiment, saying: "The international economic scenario is a dampener on the festive season sales."




"Traders are incurring huge losses as consumers are not only facing financial strain but also security concerns that are deterring them from going shopping," he added.

According to D.K. Joshi, chief economist at credit rating agency Crisil, while the market is certain to be impacted, there are factors that could offset it also.

"The Sixth Pay Commission has pumped in money, which will increase purchasing power and raise demand," Joshi said.

However, the liquidity crunch is certainly a dampener on consumer durables sales especially when people make token purchases during Diwali, Joshi added.

The government needs to take extra measures to ensure extra liquidity in the market and make available soft loans to the traders to meet their production costs, Cait's Khandelwal said.

He said the markets till last year had seen sales rising 30-40 percent during the festive season that lasts till January-end to early February.

However, instead of witnessing any growth, trade is on a downswing with losses mounting, Khandelwal claimed.

"Though the Sixth Pay Commission has given the salaried class more liquid cash, it is only on paper till now. Unless people get the money in hand, sales will remain sluggish and traders will suffer losses," he added.

India's benchmark securities index crashed Friday by nearly 1,000 points within minutes of opening but recovered substantially after the central bank announced a cut in the CRR to inject an estimated Rs.400 billion.

In addition, RBI has reduced the CRR by 50 basis points Monday, which will likely inject about Rs.200 billion into the system.

The meltdown at the bourses has left corporate India not even worth its revenue base with the collective market capitalisation of all the listed companies slipping below their cumulative latest fiscal revenues.

After a 1,071-point Sensex plunge on Friday, the market value of all the listed companies plummetted to about Rs 27,75,000 crore -- which is less than the total full-year revenue of close to Rs 30,00,000 crore reported by these companies in their latest financial years.

Besides, two fiscal quarters have already passed for a majority of the companies -- as most of the Indian companies follow April-March financial year -- and the industry has witnessed a considerable revenue growth in this six-month period.

Even a modest estimate of 10 per cent revenue growth for the current fiscal would take the total revenue to near Rs 33 trillion, while the market capitalisation are said to be under further pressure given no signs of recovery in global markets.

In another interesting turn of events, the market value figure for a majority of the companies have slipped below their latest fiscal revenues, marking a reversal of the trend till early this year prior to the beginning of the downslide on the bourses.

As on January 10, the day when the Sensex had scaled its all-time high of 21,206.77 points before embarking on its downhill path, close to 2,000 companies had a market capitalisation figure higher than their full-year revenues. In comparison, just about 1,000 companies' market values were below their full fiscal revenue figures.

In comparison, there are only about 800 companies left today which have their market value higher than their latest fiscal revenues, against more than 2,000 firms having a market value lower than their full-year revenue.


Reacting to Singh's remarks on Saturday to accompanying journalists on his way back from China that he would like to work with Left parties for secularism and national unity, CPM politburo member Sitaram Yechury said "if the concern for secularism is so sincere then all this should have been thought before rushing into surrender to the US" on the issue of civil nuclear deal.

He asked the Prime Minister to reconsider his economic policies.

CPI Secretary D Raja said unless the Prime Minister and the Congress-led UPA government reversed its politics and get out of the Indo-US nuclear deal, it would be difficult to work with them.

He said the government should reverse its economic reforms and stop pursuing strategic ties with the US.

Yechury said it was "our pressure that prevented the government from going in from a full capital account convertibility and enact laws to open up insurance and banking sectors. Had it happened we would have been ruined today".

Raja said it was due to the Left opposition that the government could not proceed with full rupee convertibility or put in pension funds into the stock market.

Both the leaders were asked to comment on Singh's statement that he hoped to find ways and means to work with Left and secular parties even though he disagreed with them on economic issues.

If it is the public Exposure grand by the Left, the RSS Ramp nevour lacks the Glamour!If averting a no-trust being tabled is animating the government's efforts to adjourn the current session of Parliament till December, BJP might challenge this assumption as it feels that the July 22 confidence vote cannot be treated as a "no confidence" motion.

Leader of Opposition L K Advani told TOI (http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/India/Adjourning_session_wont_protect_govt_from_no-trust_vote_Advani/articleshow/3630772.cms) that "the trust motion in July was not initiated by the Opposition. Suppose the support to the government again changes within six months. Can it then be argued that the government has no cause to prove its majority on the floor of Lok Sabha?"

While not stating whether BJP was planning a no-confidence motion, Advani said the notion that adjourning the current proceedings, which are a "continuation" of the July 22 special session, will not protect the government from its majority being tested.

He pointed out that the six-month bar applied to a no-confidence motion being initiated by the Opposition. In the event the trust vote was sought by the government there could be no reason to prevent the Opposition seeking to press a no-confidence vote within six months, technically even in the same session.

Going by indications the July 22 session was going to be spread out over more than four months and in such a situation the Opposition could hardly be prevented from moving a no-confidence motion.

Thus, the Nuke Opera never ends and beats all Reality shows on indian televison!


Menwhile, Heavy rain continued to batter Kerala for the third successive day on Saturday, flooding low-lying areas and forcing the government to open control rooms in all districts to mobilise relief operations.The rain was especially severe in north Kerala, with the gauge in several places in the districts of Kozhikode, Malappuram, Thrissur, Wayanad and Kannur touching levels ranging between 24 cm and 12 cm during the 24 hours that ended at 8.30 a.m. on Saturday.Weather models had predicted that the cyclonic circulation will move west to the Oman coast in the northwest Arabian Sea, relieving the Kerala coast. But the system has continued to stay put in the region off the Kozhikode-Mangalore coast.

What’s more, another such system is likely to form near the Andaman and Nicobar islands on October 26 and head towards the eastern coast. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) today said the low pressure has been formed off the AP coast. The system may concentrate into a depression during the next 48 hours. This, the weather office said, will enhance rainfall activity along the east coast during the next three to four days. Diwali would be celebrated on Tuesday.

The weather office said the low pressure will concentrate into depression by Sunday. It means rainfall activity will continue on Monday and Tuesday. ‘Going by the progress of the system, rainfall activity is likely during Monday as well as Tuesday. Diwali is likely to be affected,’ Director, IMD, Orissa, S.C. Sahu said.Interestingly, the National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting sources said a second low pressure would form off the Andaman by Sunday. While the current system is expected to move parallel to Orissa coast before heading towards West Bengal-Bangladesh coast, the second system is likely to head towards North Orissa.

Daylong drizzle coupled with cold winds disrupted life in the capital and elsewhere as a well-marked low over the Bay of Bengal grew into a depression yesterday.

Met office in Dhaka predicted that the squally weather conditions may continue for a couple of days with the depression threatening to strengthen further.

In a special bulletin, it said the low, formed over the west-central Bay and adjoining northwest Bay, has been moving north-westerly after becoming a depression.

“Under the influence, heavy to very heavy rainfall may occur at places across Chittagong, Barisal, Khulna and Dhaka divisions during the next 24 hours,” read the Met office warning issued yesterday afternoon.

Meanwhile, a launch carrying 40 passengers aboard overturned in Meghna in Hatia. However, no casualties were reported in the capsize.


G.C. Debnath, the director of the weather section in the Regional Meteorological Centre in Alipore, said: “The depression now lies about 700km south-west of Calcutta. Under its influence, heavy rain is expected in coastal districts and some parts of Calcutta. The depression is likely to intensify further and Kali Puja may be affected.”

Met officials said the inclement weather had led to a day temperature drop and a sense of chilliness.

“Yesterday, the maxi- mum temperature was pegged at 29.3°C. Today, it dropped to 26.5°C, which is four degrees below normal,” a Met official said.

The sea has also turned rough, the weather office added.

“Gusty winds with a speed between 45kmph and 55 kmph are expected to lash the coast and fishermen have been advised not to venture into the high seas,” the official said.

The depression, the Met office said, has shown signs of moving northward. “However, it is yet to be seen if it travels towards Bengal or moves towards Orissa or Bangladesh at the last moment,” the official added.

“October-December is the cyclone season and low pressures and depression often develop in the Bay of Bengal at this time.”

Today, the city woke up to cloudy skies. By 1pm, a drizzle had started, but heavy rain was not reported from anyw- here in the city or the dist-ricts.

“This is because the depression is still far away from the coast,” the Met official said.

The out-of-season rain could worsen the microbial siege of Calcutta, experts warned today as undiagnosed fever killed a woman and a double dengue-malaria strike left a child seriously ill.


The outbreaks have highlighted several lapses by civic and state health officials:

Spraying of repellents irregular in large city areas

No surveillance of any type of fever

Deaf ear to World Health Organisation warning of mosquito-borne diseases because of late onset of monsoon

Hardly any awareness drive against water accumulation

Dengue test-kit shortage in state-run hospitals

A health official passed the buck: “The civic authorities should have acted faster.”


Sujata Ghosh, 33, of Behala is probably the 10th Calcuttan killed by mosquito-borne infections in October (see chart). She had shown symptoms of dengue but test results on her blood sample, drawn this morning before her death, are awaited.

The city is facing a simultaneous outbreak of malaria, dengue, encephalitis and chikungunya — although civic and state health officials could not provide incidence figures — and must brace for worse.

“The rainfall will cause fresh water to accumulate, helping the breeding of mosquito larvae. This can lead to further spread of diseases,” said Amitabha Nandi, director, Centre for Tropical Medicine and Parasitology.

Met officials forecast heavy rain till Monday and possibly on Tuesday too. ( ).

“We have asked our vector-control teams to work overtime,” said Deb Dwaipayan Chattopadhyay, chief municipal health officer.

The city reported three more patients today, with Isha Ghosh, 7, of Mominpur testing positive for dengue and malaria. Biswarup Dutta, in his 20s, of Behala has dengue and Biren Singh, 60, a shanty-dweller from near the FB block market, became Salt Lake’s first confirmed chikungunya patient.

Sujata, employee of a finance company, had been down since Wednesday night with high fever, shivering, body- ache and rashes. She was declared dead on arrival at Behala’s Vidyasagar Hospital, which will do a post-mortem. Her family said Sujata suffered from kidney and thyroid diseases too and had high blood sugar.

“The civic body hardly ever sprays mosquito repellents here,” said a neighbour in Behala.

Consumer Goods
Consumer goods are the goods bought by the households or end users for their personal/own consumption. These include:

Durable Goods
Durable goods are the good used by end users for a long period of time repeatedly and continuously such as major appliances. Generally durable goods have a larger life span with regard to its use.

Semi Durable Goods
These goods have a specific/limited lifespan and can be utilized at multiple occasions such as footwear, linens, clothing, artificial jewellery etc.

Non Durable Goods
Non durable goods are the goods that can be used only once.These have a very short life span and are not reusable. For instance : food, household supplies etc.

Manufactured Goods
Manufactured goods are goods that have been processed in any way. As such, they are the opposite of raw materials, but include intermediate goods as well as final goods.

Advantage India
India is a major hub for all businesses and consumer goods is the most emerging sectors in India. As a business hub India provides a better advantage of setting up business due to both federal policies and consumer markets. With increase in mobile factors of production the availability of labour is creating opportunities for Multi nationals. Another advantage in India as a business destination the currency. The rise in currencies lead to higher productivity resulting in increased purchasing power.Another factor influencing the business atmosphere is the India's federal system of Government with clear line of powers within the state and the Central Governments.

Apart from these India provides a liberal, attractive, and investor friendly investment climate. India has the most liberal and transparent policies on foreign direct investment (FDI) among major economies of the world. India is among the top 10 FDI destinations.In addition to all this Government of India accords high priority to development of infrastructure in highways, ports, railways, airports, power, telecom..

Advantage India at a Glance

General

A stable Government with second stage reforms in place
Well established corporate ethics
Major tax reforms including implementation of VAT
Strengths : Indian FMCG Sector

Well-established distribution network extending to rural areas
Strong brands in the FMCG sector
Low cost operations
Opportunities

Large domestic market
Export potential
Increasing income levels will result in faster revenue growth
Returns and Investments

$130 billion-plus investment in infrastructure by year 2010
$ 10 billion FDI in infrastructure development and capital market by year 2008
Stock market rose by nearly 40 per cent in 2005; foreign investors are flooding in
Market

India has the largest young population with over 890 million people below 45 years of age
600 million-plus consumers by year 2010
550 million-plus people under the age of 20 by year 2015
70 million-plus people earn over Rs.8,00,000 ($18,000) a year - number to rise to 140 million by year 2011
Consumer Spending Pattern

In India the Total Consumer Spend was Rs.20,00,000 crore ($445 billion) in the year 2005
Size of Retail market Rs.10,50,000 crore ($233 billion);
Organised Retail sector is worth Rs.35,000 crore ($8 billion)
Leading retailers' sales growth (2005): 50-100%
India is the fourth largest economy in terms of purchasing power
A consumer market of 1.02 billion
A growing middle class of over 400 million with increasing purchasing power
FDI and Global Retailers

51% FDI allowed in single brand retailing
FDI laws relatively liberal in wholesale trade
Metro AG and Shoprite already operational
More foreign retailers eyeing possibilities in wholesale
Tesco, Carrefour and Wal-Mart expected to operate soon
Woolworths (Dick Smith Electronics - durable retail arm) entering through a JV with the Tata conglomerate
Foreign Exchange Controls

Rupee is freely convertible on current account
Rupee is almost fully convertible on capital account for non-residents
For FDI- Profits earned, dividends and proceeds out of the sale of investments are fully repatriable
There are some restrictions for resident Indians on capital account on incomes earned in India



"The big question is how you can restructure the international economic regime in a way that makes countries such as India and China feel that they not only have a stake but also have real influence," said Eswar Prasad, former head of the China division at the International Monetary Fund.

The Washinton-based IMF has often been criticized as increasingly unrepresentative of the global economy, with emerging economies, especially Asian ones, chronically underweighted in their voting shares.

"The problem with the Bretton Woods institutions in the way they are currently structured is that these major economies feel that those institutions are still the fiefdoms of the US in particular and advanced economies in general," Prasad said.

The IMF and the World Bank are institutions established under the Bretton Woods agreement, which has guided international finance since World War II but which mainly European leaders want rewritten after a massive US home mortgage meltdown sparked the world's worst financial crisis since the Geat Depression.

US President George W. Bush has called for a series of summits, beginning with the November 15 talks, to discuss the causes of the problems in the global financial system and begin developing reform for financial regulatory bodies and institutions.

Leaders from China, Japan, India, Australia, South Korea and Indonesia are the Asian regional invitees to the summit, that also include the United States, the European Union, Britain, France, Germany, Argentina, Brazil, Canada, Italy, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa and Turkey.

"For the architecture of the international financial system, I certainly think they should be raising the whole question of the over-representation, particularly of Europe and to some extent the United States, and the extreme under-representation of emerging markets, many of which are in Asia," said Nicholas Lardy of the Washington-based Peterson Institute for International Economics.

He said that without some really fundamental changes, for example, in the distribution of voting rights in the IMF, "it is hard to see how it is going to remain a relevant international organization".

IMF member nations approved reforms earlier this year for developed countries to give up a small fraction of their voting rights -- equivalent to 1.6 percentage points -- to the benefit of emerging and developing countries. It was criticized by experts as inadequate.

"They are really moving at a snail's pace," Lardy said despite IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn's pledge to restore what he called relevance and credibility to the heavily criticized multilateral institution.

While there is some agreement on the need for a powerful and effective multilateral institution that would bring everyone to the table and actually have some leverage over the key players, it is not clear whether the Washington summit would seek a new international financial framework, experts said.

"A big concern China and India have is that institutions, like the IMF, may not have leverage over the key advanced country players," said Prasad, now with the Washington-based Brookings Institution. "So, how you correct that imbalance or at least the perception of that imbalance is going to be very critical," he said. The current financial turmoil has inspired widespread speculation of a shifting balance of power away from the United States and other advanced economies of Europe toward the major emerging economies, said Sabina Dewan of the Washington-based Center for American Progress.

"Whether this is indeed the case is yet to be seen, but that emerging economies such as China and India are becoming critical players in the global economic game is clear," she said.

Celebrate Diwali in the virtual world

Kolkata: Burst crackers without noise pollution or offer puja to the Goddess of Wealth, Lakshmi, in the virtual world on PCs or GPRS enabled mobile phones this Diwali.

"The e-fireworks can continue for an unlimited period. An exciting range of fireworks can be burst by logging on to multilingual portal Webdunia.Com, which is offering it as part of its 'Go Green'campaign, on its religion channel under virtual pooja and Online eCrackers," Webdunia sources told PTI.

"The cyber world promises to fire your imagination this Diwali, with eco-friendly crackers in all shapes and sizes," the sources said.

Computer users can burst e-crackers and offer puja to Lakshmi by logging on to www.Hindi.Webdunia.Com/religion/occasion/dipawali/.

Those with GPRS enabled mobile phone users can log onto wap.Webdunia.Com, free of cost, the sources said.

For a special divine experience mobile phone users can also check out the Lakshmi Poojan application on wap.Webdunia.Com.

The application works on Java enabled mobile phones and can be downloaded free from http://wap.Webdunia.Com.

Webdunia, is a multi-lingual portal, headquartered in Indore and has development centres in Chennai, Indore and Thiruvananthapuram.

Retailers hoping customers will splurge before Diwali

NEW DELHI: With just two days left for Diwali, organised retailers are hoping that more customers will come to their stores and lift sales, which hav
e been slack in the past few months.

Retail majors, including Reliance Retail, Koutons India, Vishal Retail and V-Mart have reported low to marginal rise in business but are hopeful that business will pick up in these days.

Reliance Retail has witnessed sales and footfalls rising in the past 10 days after a period of slow business.

"The month of October started in a slow way but over the last 10 days tempo has picked up across all our 840 stores located in various states. Diwali is the key selling season for any retailer and we expect to make the best out of it," Reliance Retail President and Chief Executive Officer (Lifestyle) Bijou Kurien said.

He said the company is expecting a sales figure of "much higher than 15-20 per cent" over and above the normal rate during an average day.

Asked about increase in footfalls, Kurien said: "Most of our outlets have been in business for less than one year and this would be their first Diwali. So, it is difficult to predict the footfall size."

Apparel and accessories major Koutons India reported a decline in footfalls during the second half of September and first week of October. However, sales have picked up since then for the 1,465 store strong value chain.

"Sales were a bit down in late September and early October. Since then it has moved upwards and we are having footfalls of around 10 per cent in excess of any normal day," Koutons India Chairman and Chief managing Director D P S Kohli said.

India to support Pak efforts to overcome financial crisis: PM

In what could be seen as a major confidence building measure, India has said it will support Pakistan government's efforts to tide over a
serious financial crunch by backing Islamabad's plan to seek help from the IMF.

"I wish the new democratic government in Pakistan well. We would like them to succeed," Prime Minister Manmohan Singh told reporters on board his special aircraft while returning home from a two-nation trip to Japan and China last evening.

"Pakistan is in serious difficulties and is going to the IMF. We will support Pakistan getting help from the IMF," said Singh, who met his Pakistani counterpart Yousuf Raza Gilani in Beijing on the margins of the ASEM Summit on Friday.

Singh said he and Gilani discussed "all issues having a bearing on our bilateral relations and I would say that there was a near complete meeting of mind."

The Prime Minister's remarks came as Pakistan is facing a major economic crisis with plunging foreign exchange reserves and high inflation. The rating agency Standard and Poor's downgraded the country's sovereign debt to level of 'CCC-plus', close to defaulting on its commitments of external loan repayment.

Islamabad is seeking loans from international donor funds and member states of 'Friends of Pakistan' group, which will convene a meeting next month in the UAE.

The Prime Minister said he had extensive discussions with Gilani on trade.

"We expressed happiness at the opening of the trade route in Jammu and Kashmir. We expressed our wish that trade should be expanded and discussed the problem of visa liberalisation and people-to-people contact," Singh said.

He said Gilani briefed him about the discussions on terrorism in Pakistan's Parliament.

Singh noted that Pakistan's Parliament had for the first time passed a strong resolution against terrorism that said Pakistani territories would not be allowed to be utilised for terrorist activities against neighbours.

"It was a good meeting but we are yet to see how effectively it is implemented...," Singh said.


Meltdown takes spark out of Diwali
26 Oct 2008, 0026 hrs IST, TNN

NEW DELHI: Most of the Capital's main market areas recorded 50% less footfalls on Saturday even with Diwali just two days away. In markets like
Lajpat Nagar, Sarojini Nagar, Karol Bagh, South Extension, Chandni Chowk etc shopkeepers claimed nobody was buying due to the recent share market meltdown. Moreover, security concerns also refrained shoppers from heading to crowded market areas.

The crowd at the city's markets was the same as seen on any other weekend. Most shops were empty and only the decorations put up by traders' associations were a reminder of the fact that Diwali is round the corner.

Said Sanjay Bharghav, owner of a ready-made garments shop at Chandni Chowk: "The festive season has been very dull. In fact, it doesn't even feel like Diwali is approaching. The garment shops have been the worst hit. No one is buying gifts. Even the eateries in Chandni Chowk are hardly crowded.''

According to shopkeepers though, security which was lax on Friday had been stepped up by Saturday. Heavy police presence was seen in many of the local market areas. Said Rekha Sinha, who was shopping at Madhu Vihar on Saturday evening: "By evening, people had started venturing out of their homes to buy diyas and other decoration items and there was a lot of police in the markets. The police officers were even checking shopping bags.''

With most bomb blasts having taken place on a Saturday, market places which have witnessed blasts in the past saw even lesser footfalls as compared to others. Said a shopkeeper in Sarojini Nagar: "Business has been badly hit this festive season. As most of the blasts happened on a Saturday, very few people actually came out to shop, especially in market areas like Sarojini Nagar where blasts have taken place in the past.''

Said an employee of Classik electronics in Lajpat Nagar: "Hardly any electronic goods have been purchased even though Diwali is coming up. The crash in the share market has made people very cautious about splurging on luxury goods. Security is also one of the reasons for slow business.'' Agreed Gurjeet Singh: "The usual gift hampers are also not selling. We are now stocking less.''

Said a shopper at South Extension, Lucky Singh: "My wife and I were advised against stepping out of our houses by our families due to security concerns. But, this being our first Diwali, we decided to celebrate it like every year by shopping for new clothes and buying necessary items for the festive season.''

With Dhanteras on Sunday, shopkeepers still hope for their business to pick up slightly. Only jewellers seem to be smiling all the way. The sale of gold has been more or less the same this Diwali.
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/Delhi/Meltdown_takes_spark_out_of_Diwali/articleshow/3641105.cms

Singh overture to ‘Left colleagues’
MANINI CHATTERJEE

Singh in Beijing. (PTI)
On board PM’s aircraft, Oct. 25: In his first major overture to the CPM-led Left parties since the bitter divorce in July, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh today said he was “not happy to part company with our Left colleagues” and hoped that he could once again work with them especially on questions of secularism and nationalism.

In a politically astute move, he made no mention of the nuclear deal which had led to the acrimonious break-up three months ago but focused on issues which had brought the Congress and Left together in the first place — and could bring them together again after the 2009 elections.

Speaking to the media on his flight home from Beijing tonight, the Prime Minister’s pro-Left sentiments extended to Bengal too — breaking his silence on the Singur fiasco, he said the circumstances under which Ratan Tata had to pull out the Nano factory was “certainly sad.”

Asked to comment on Tata’s decision to move out of Bengal to Narendra Modi’s Gujarat, the Prime Minister said that in a democracy, entrepreneurs were free to decide the location of their plants but the decision itself was sad. “It is sad because a lot of work had been done in Bengal and there was a date fixed for the Nano’s appearance in the market….”


CPM’s Prakash Karat
Aware that the land acquisition issue could have political repercussions with elections round the corner, Singh, however, sought to strike a fine balance between the imperatives of industrialisation and the well-being of farmers — almost as though he were agreeing with both Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee and Mamata Banerjee.

In reply to a question, he said, “India needs to industrialise; without industrialisation we cannot find solutions to our employment or development problems... (but) industrialisation cannot be on the backs of the poor farmers.”

Pointing out that the real issue is the terms on which the land is acquired, the Prime Minister said, “There should be an increasing attempt to reward farmers appropriately, also perhaps giving them a stake in the enterprises which come into existence on the land that is acquired.”

The bill to amend the Land Acquisition Act (which is expected to guarantee better compensation to farmers) is before Parliament, Singh said and hoped that it would not create any friction and division among parties “because India must industrialise to realise its destiny”.

The Prime Minister took the same nuanced approach towards the Left as a whole — disagreeing with its economics but seeking its help in politics. On claims made by CPM leaders that India would have fared much worse in the current financial crisis if the Left had not blocked attempts to open out the banking, insurance and pension funds sectors, Singh said: “I am afraid I don’t agree. Strengthening India’s banking system, strengthening India’s insurance system has enabled us to deal with the crisis more effectively. I beg to differ (with them on this).”

But he took the opportunity to express his unhappiness at parting with the Left parties. “In my view,” the Prime Minister said, “all parties which are committed to secularism and nationalism must work together to deal with the communal and regional divide which is being sought to be created by some anti-social elements. There are issues which require all political parties which think alike to sit together, and I very much hope we can find ways and means to work with our Left colleagues.”

In contrast to his expansive comments on Left-related issues, the Prime Minister remained circumspect on other questions relating to politics. The next general election will be held “on schedule”, he said but sidestepped a query on whether he would contest a Lok Sabha seat with a non-committal “we shall see when the time comes”.

Similarly, he refrained from guessing at the outcome of the Assembly elections round the corner. “All elections are in one way or the other a test of popularity. But that’s part of the democratic process one has to go through,” he said.

Following up on his remarks at the ASEM summit in Beijing last evening in which he admitted that India’s economy was under strain because of the international financial crisis, Singh said: “It would be wrong to say that I am not worried. It is my duty as Prime Minister to worry when things don’t go as planned.” He also refused to spell out a time frame for the end of the crisis, saying that “it all depends on how long it takes the world community to restore confidence to the global financial markets.”

On the proposed G20 summit in Washington next month, the Prime Minister confirmed that President Bush had called him in Tokyo to invite him to the summit but said a decision would be taken only after consultations in Delhi.

The Prime Minister, who met Chinese President Hu Jintao earlier this evening, said they had discussed the financial crisis in detail and would take co-ordinated positions to tackle it. Singh, whose speech came in for much praise at the ASEM summit last evening, also confirmed that he had predicted the crisis well in advance. “I have been saying for the past 18 months that there are clouds on the horizon which, if not checked, would create trouble for the world economy,” he said.
http://www.telegraphindia.com/1081026/jsp/frontpage/story_10022027.jsp

Mamata rally time after pujas
OUR SPECIAL CORRESPONDENT
Calcutta, Oct. 25: The end of the puja season means Mamata Banerjee’s rallies are round the corner.

“We have kept quiet for a pretty long time,” Mamata said at her Kalighat home today.

“During the festival season, we had suspended protests against the ruling party for about a month. Now that Kali Puja and bhai phonta will be over by October 30, we will begin our agitation against the government from October 31.”

Four days ago, she had said the Trinamul Congress would refrain from blocking rail and road traffic over trivial issues.

Mamata’s first rally will be in Burdwan’s Ausgram where Trinamul men were allegedly being threatened and minorities attacked by CPM goons.
After that, she plans to gherao the offices of the superintendents of police across the state. “Our agitation would spread to every district in the form of an SP office abhijaan between November 10 and November 20,” Mamata said.

“The CPM is now realising that its end is pretty near. It will get the answer in the Lok Sabha polls. This has to be told to the masses. That’s why, I will visit some districts.”

A party leader said Mamata’s decision to re-launch the agitation against the government is aimed at winning support in the districts ahead of the Lok Sabha polls next year and elections to the Howrah Municipal Corporation and the municipalities in Krishnagar, Behrampore and Jhargram on November 30.

“Didi spoke to some of our district leaders who told her that the agitation against the ruling party has to be kept alive as Lok Sabha elections are near. She is expecting an announcement for the general elections in January-end or February next year,” the leader said.

Mamata said she would go to Singur on November 2 to demand that 400 acres be returned to the unwilling farmers. “I will hold a meeting supporting the unwilling farmers. Their land was taken forcibly. Our meeting would again demand the return of 400 acres.”

She added: “Industry is welcome on the remaining part of the acquired land and the government can float global tenders to set up units there.”

On November 10, Mamata would be in Nandigram addressing a meeting denouncing the “armed recapture of land by CPM goons’’. “Don’t forget it was the CPM, with police as onlookers, which recaptured Nandigram on November 10 last year,” she said.

Today, the Deolpota Seva Samity, the NGO invited for talks on land acquisition for the Geonkhali shipyard, said it would boycott Monday’s meeting with the East Midnapore district magistrate.

Singur OC transfer

The officer in charge of Singur police station, Priyabrata Bakshi, has been posted in Pandua. Bhadreshwar OC Ashok Mishra will take his place.

http://www.telegraphindia.com/1081026/jsp/bengal/story_10022119.jsp

How to restore faith in a failed economic system


26 Oct, 2008, 1419 hrs IST, IANS

BRUSSELS: The trouble with telling nervous customers you have solved their problem is that you first have to admit there is one. That is the dilemma
facing the world's banks, governments and financial institutions as they desperately try to restore faith in an economic system which millions of customers now believe has failed.

"We have shown the world that the United States of America will stabilise our financial markets and maintain a leading role in the global economy," US President George W. Bush proclaimed on Oct 3 after the US Congress passed a $700-billion bank rescue plan.

His words spectacularly failed to restore global confidence, with stock markets nosediving in the days following the vote.

Europe, meanwhile, has "taken too much time to look at confidence - we've ignored it too long", Hans Redecker of the BNP Paribas bank said in London.

The word "confidence" has become a watchword for world leaders since the current financial crisis began in early September.

Analysts around the world have highlighted the lack of trust as a key reason for the global slowdown, with banks unwilling to lend to one another, and customers of banks such as Britain's Northern Rock desperate to take their money out before the institution collapsed.

European leaders have backed up that analysis with action, offering trillions of dollars in guarantees of deposits and inter-bank loans in a bid to keep their populations from panic.

Their moves "seem to have helped, but they seem to have almost reached the maximum (governments) could have done, barring full nationalisation", Karel Lannoo, head of the Centre for European Policy Studies in Brussels, said.

The psychological pressure has been particularly acute in Germany, where memories of the rocketing inflation and financial crashes of the 1920s and 1930s are burned deep in the national psyche.

"I wondered what would happen if queues formed outside German credit institutions as they did for Northern Rock. The traumatic events of the twentieth century (have) imprinted themselves far more deeply in this country than in others," German Foreign Minister Peer Steinbrueck told the Die Zeit weekly Oct 16.

But governments and banks alike have struggled to overcome a counter-current of market uncertainty which has read their guarantees as a sign that things are even more serious than had been feared.

German banks, for example, reported a flood of anguished enquiries the day after Chancellor Angela Merkel announced a blanket state guarantee for retail bank deposits, as though the guarantee had confirmed the scale of the problem rather than solving it.

That leaves governments needing to do nothing less than rebuild the financial system if they are to restore confidence, analysts say.

"As mistrust in the financial system has spread to ordinary citizens, a broad institutional and regulatory plan needs to be put in place to convince them that policy-makers have learned the necessary lessons from this crisis," Lannoo wrote in a briefing paper Tuesday.

But while governments have been quick to offer national bail-out plans and a European-level "tool box" for future interventions, analysts say they have not done nearly enough on the global scale.

"What we see is a response with very little coordination. The international cooperation is still missing," Redecker said.

World leaders have recently lined up behind a call from French President Nicolas Sarkozy for an emergency summit to "re-lay the foundations of responsible capitalism" on Nov 15.

But such a response, negotiated between the world's most powerful and self-assertive countries at a time of massive domestic stress, is likely to take a great deal of time.

"It will take an extremely long-term effort: to restore a lost reputation takes a lot of time," Lannoo pointed out.

And with Europe's markets and citizens already spooked by talk of a looming recession, further bank bail-outs, slumping industrial profits and financial turbulence in key export countries such as the US and Russia, time is the commodity they can least of all afford.

"Our view since March has been that the solution would be to stabilise the banking sector, but the measures which were introduced came very late. The question now is, was it too late?" Redecker said.

Market mayhem: Realty stocks take a beating


25 Oct, 2008, 1345 hrs IST,Nimish Shukla, TNN

AHMEDABAD: Real estate stocks fell like nine pins on Friday as investors panicked and jettisoned their stocks at whatever price the markets gave them.

Amidst free fall in the markets, stock price of Unitech halved and settled at Rs 30.10 with a loss of 51.29%, unforeseen for a Nifty stock in a single day earlier.

The stock lost around 91% of its value from its peak price of Rs 547 that was seen during January 2008.

Among realty stocks, Puravankara Projects, DLF, Orbit Corporation, Parsvnath Developers and Phoenix Mills had taken larger beating and these stocks were down more than 20%. Even the BSE realty index fell by 24% in a day.

The markets on Friday disappointed after the Reserve Bank of India kept its key rates unchanged in its credit policy.

Selling pressure on realty stocks became intense following the concern that banks may not reduce interest rate following the RBI's decision.
Brokers go slow on structured products


25 Oct, 2008, 0454 hrs IST,Gaurav Pai, ET Bureau

MUMBAI: After pushing them for years, brokers are going slow on structured products — mostly capital protection schemes, which also promised to captu
re a certain percentage of the upside in the stock market. These products have lost their sheen because of the collapse of several global investment banks and defaults on bonds by many countries recently. In structured products, it is the NBFC arms of investment banks that mostly structure these equity-linked notes.

“We have been in a holding pattern on the structured products side, as we want to be more comfortable about the end use of the money that we take from investors,” says Maneesh Kumar, head of wealth management solutions at ASK Wealth Advisors, a Mumbai-based financial planning & wealth advisory firm. “We want to be careful and ensure that the use of monies on the debt component of the investment is not leveraged. The portion in derivatives also has to pass through our scrutiny,” he adds.

The broking houses that structure these products usually invest nearly three-fourths of the money raised in ‘unsecured debentures’ issued by a non-banking finance company (NBFC).

So, if an investor has invested Rs 100 with the broking house, Rs 75 is invested in debentures, which at a compounded rate of 10% over three years (usually the tenure of the structured product) grows to Rs 100, thus protecting the capital. The remaining 25% is usually invested in Nifty-linked derivatives — either options or futures — to capture the upside in the index. The structured product industry is estimated to house more than Rs 10,000 crore, with Citigroup, Merrill Lynch and Kotak accounting for a sizeable chunk of the market.

Akhilesh Singh, business head — wealth management and distribution services, Emkay, says although investors have been expressing concern about the credit quality of structured products, there have been no redemption. “But the appetite for any fresh investments in structured products has reduced greatly,” he says.

Other officials at broking houses say there is no evidence of defaults in any of the existing structured products. But they point out that it is only when a large number of such products come up for redemption that investors know whether the apparent safety of their funds is for real.

A host of wealthy Indians had put their money in structured products to protect the profits they had made from the bull run. Investors with less risk appetite also found such products attractive because these products were supposed to guarantee the capital. But with NBFCs —the counterparties in such transactions — taking hit in recent days, investors are finding that guarantee may have just been a mirage.

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/3638993.cms

Inclusion and regulators' dilemma


25 Oct, 2008, 0053 hrs IST,Sanjay Sinha

Supporting development and growth of the financial system at the same time as ensuring its smooth functioning is the role that all national financial regulators are required to play. The usually conflicting tensions between liberal rule-making and forbearance on the one hand and cautious restraint on the imprudent behaviour of mavericks on the other, is a dilemma that regulators must live with.

By and large, regulators are a conservative lot and tend to favour caution over liberal growth. Thus, in India we have seen the facilitation by regulators of a high capital financial system while alternatives with lower capital requirements are either limited to government ownership, as in the case of the regional rural banks, or disallowed altogether in the insurance sector. The result is a financial system that is skewed towards the needs of the largely urban, organised economy while smaller and more informal enterprises do not enjoy the same access to the formal system. The net result is a far higher cost of doing business for small and informal enterprise than would occur in a more liberal regulatory regime.

The dampening effect of regulatory conservatism on economic inclusion and ultimately on economic growth is a matter that can only be speculated upon. The excellent report of the Raghuram Rajan Committee on financial sector reforms estimates that a better functioning financial sector alone could release enough economic energy to add up to 2% to the rate of economic growth. This is not a release to be sneezed at.

For this, the Raghuram Rajan Committee makes a number of important proposals. First, the committee favours the introduction of what it calls “small finance banks”; deposit-taking banks with far lower levels of capital than the Rs 300 crore of equity that conventional commercial banks are required to have. The risk associated with the limited geographical focus of such banks would be offset by higher capital adequacy norms and lower allowable concentration in loans to a single party. This is essentially a revival of the local area bank idea that was abandoned by the RBI amidst concerns about the honesty and viability of such banks. Yet, as the committee points out, recent experience in India and elsewhere shows there is no direct correlation between honesty and the size of banks. By being more selective in applying its “fit and proper” criteria to a larger number of applicants, the RBI can in fact ensure a better and more responsible management than is possible with the few applicants there are for large bank licences. Viability, the committee argues, can be improved by applying technological solutions that will also enhance transparency.

Second, the committee recommends the liberalisation of the business correspondent regulation by allowing more diverse local agents to extend such services while using technology to reduce transaction cost and limit fraud. This would enable the tapping of various distribution networks such as cell phone kiosks and kirana shops for bridging the last mile between large banks and small, and sometimes geographically scattered, customers.

Third, the recommendations of the Vaidyanathan Committee on cooperative reforms are reinforced to emphasise that better management would result if members of cooperative institutions had their funds at stake since this would lead them to exercise real control because there would be no prospect of government intervention or interference. This would enable unviable cooperatives to be closed while the best ones could even explore the possibility of conversion to small finance banks.

Fourth, the committee argues for the liberalisation of the interest rate regime with appropriate safeguards such as full transparency on the effective interest rate and publication of annual average and maximum rates charged to the priority sector.
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/Opinion/Inclusion_and_regulators_dilemma/articleshow/3638552.cms


How to cope with recession


19 Oct, 2008, 1605 hrs IST,Rajiv Vij,

Every time we are faced with a real personal crisis — loss of job, onset of a terminal illness, divorce or financial crisis — some of the questions that cross our mind are: Why did this happen to me? Will it ever get better? How will this impact my social position? It is only natural to start feeling down and feel anxious about the future. However, people who have weathered such storms, and whom I have had the opportunity to meet during my corporate career and my life coaching practice, usually say that the crisis was the best thing that happened to them. It made them to get off their treadmill of maddening activity and do some real soulsearching towards creating a better and happier future.

Drawing from those experiences, it may be useful to look at ways of dealing with such crises in multiple dimensions.

First, it is critical to maintain a healthy sense of optimism about the future — not because we want to psyche ourselves into positive thinking but because things do get better from points of high pessimism. Surveys of people faced with a personal crisis demonstrate that the same people generally feel much better about themselves and life in general just a year after the initial event. It is equally important to have a strong sense of self-belief — the belief that not only will things get better for me but that I will also have a meaningful role to play in it. As Graham Bell said, “When one door closes another door opens; but we often look so long and so regretfully upon the closed door that we do not see the ones which open for us.”
If the crisis involves some form of financial impact, it may be useful to also reflect on our needs and wants. In today’s consumerist society, we constantly want more — a bigger house, a flashier car, a new cellphone. Very often, unfulfilled wants may be the biggest source of disappointment and stress in our lives, and this is accentuated during adverse times. It may be pertinent to ask ourselves whether we need all these gadgets. In most cases, our needs are usually much simpler than our unending wants.
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/Opinion/Comments__Analysis/How_to_cope_with_recession/articleshow/3615413.cms
Companies start competing for bailout money

26 Oct, 2008, 0034 hrs IST, AGENCIES
WASHINGTON: The bailout is now the hottest lobbying game in town. Insurers, automakers and American subsidiaries of foreign banks all want the Treasury Department to cut them a piece of the largest government rescue in US history.
The betting is that many with their hands out will be successful, especially with financial markets in a stomach-churning dive and predictions the economy is about to tumble into a deep recession.
These groups argue that the credit squeeze is so severe and the risks to the economy so dire that their industries need financial support as well.
The Treasury is considering requests from a variety of industries, but has not decided whether to expand the program, officials said Saturday.
Lobbying efforts intensifying
The Financial Services Roundtable wrote Treasury officials on Friday requesting that the initiative to buy $250 billion in bank stock grow to cover insurers, auto companies, securities dealers and US subsidiaries of foreign companies, including banks. The Treasury's plan is intended to bolster banks' tattered balance sheets and get them to resume making loans.
As the Treasury now interprets it, these additional groups would not participate in the bank stock program. They could receive help from a separate part of the $700 billion rescue that will buy bad assets from financial institutions.
Steve Bartlett, the president of the Roundtable, urged the Treasury to broaden the definition of those eligible for the stock purchase program.
"The institutions that are excluded play a vital role in the US economy by providing liquidity to the market," Bartlett wrote Neel Kashkari, the Treasury Department official running the bailout program.
Referring to US subsidiaries of foreign companies, Bartlett said, "This is a global crisis and to not recognize the US firms controlled by foreign banks or companies would create further impediment to the market's recovery."
A financial industry official said Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson met over the past week with various groups, including hedge fund managers, which were petitioning for assistance. The official spoke on condition of anonymity because the Treasury has not made a decision.
Some insurers technically would be eligible for stock purchases now if they own subsidiaries that are savings and loan institutions regulated by the Office of Thrift Supervision.
Last month, American International Group, the country's largest insurance company, received an $85 billion loan from the Federal Reserve. Since then, it has gotten further support in an effort to withstand the biggest upheavals on Wall Street since the Great Depression.
Complicating the government's decision-making is that the Bush administration will not be in charge after Jan. 20. Paulson, who has said he has no intention of staying on the job, has pledged to consult with both campaigns on his bailout actions.
Democrat Barack Obama's presidential campaign said Friday it supported the effort by the auto industry to get money from the $250 billion made available for stock purchases. That would be in addition to $25 billion recently approved by Congress for low-interest loans to help the struggling industry retool and build fuel efficient vehicles.
The debate over expanding the bailout comes as the Treasury is rushing to get money out the door to the primary recipients: banks that sharply curtailed lending after suffering billions of dollars of losses on mortgage-related assets as home foreclosures soared in the housing slump.
Lawmakers are pressuring the Treasury to do more in the foreclosure area, as well.
Sheila Bair, head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, told Congress about efforts to provide government-backed loan guarantees for mortgages that are reworked to help homeowners in danger of default. That would give banks an incentive to speed up refinancing efforts because the government would back part of the reworked loan.
The Treasury also is moving ahead to get bank stock purchases approved. It announced on Oct 14 that it was spending $125 billion to buy stock in nine of the largest financial institutions. An announcement was expected Friday about a second round involving 20 to 22 other banks.
But it was decided each bank would announce its own agreements with the Treasury, out of concern that excluded banks could suffer a stock sell-off from disappointed investors.
PNC Financial Services Group Inc announced Friday it was acquiring National City Corp for $5.58 billion, in what was the first instance of a bank using fresh investments from the bailout program to make an acquisition. PNC said it had received $7.7 billion in cash through selling stock to the government under the programme.
Global slowdown may impact China's growth rate

26 Oct, 2008, 1515 hrs IST,
BEIJING: Narrowing overseas demand in the wake of global economic slowdown could have a negative impact on the growth prospects of exports-dependent
China, country's top banker said on Sunday.
"Our economy is highly reliant on overseas demand. Slacking exports resulted from the global economic slowdown would have a negative impact on the economy," governor of the country's central bank Zhou Xiaochuan told Chinese parliament, the National People's Congress (NPC).
He said the country needed to be cautious about adjusting policies because prices would possibly fluctuate frequently in the future.
The central bank would strengthen the supervision system and have emergency measures in place to deal with possible negative impact on the country's banking system. It would also work to ensure sufficient liquidity in the domestic market.
He also said the central bank would keep a close look over the real estate sector and improve financial services in this market.
The central bank would let the market "play a bigger role" in deciding interest rates and keep the exchange rates stable, he said, adding it would step up supervision over cross-border capital flows to prevent damage caused by massive flow of short-term speculative capital.
The fifth session of the Standing Committee of the 11th National People's Congress (NPC) opened its second plenary meeting Sunday morning. Wu Bangguo, chairman of the Standing Committee of the NPC, attended the meeting.
World Bank to double loans to poor countries - Nikkei

26 Oct, 2008, 1311 hrs IST, REUTERS
TOKYO: The World Bank plans to increase loans to poor countries to make up for dwindling private fund flows to these economies, Japan's business dai
ly Nikkei reported on Sunday. The international lender aims to double its long-term loans to those countries from $13.5 bn in 2007 to help them cope with the global credit crisis, the paper said.
The move came as the International Monetary Fund (IMF), another Washington-based multinational lender, offered help to crisis-struck countries, such as Iceland and Ukraine. The World Bank loans will be targeted at around 10 poor countries in Asia and Africa, such as Ghana, Bangladesh and Cambodia, as the IMF focuses on emerging, middle-income economies, the Japanese daily said.
The World Bank will offer long-term loans of 15 to 20 years at an interest rate roughly on a par with London Inter-bank Offered Rate, or LIBOR. The bank is also considering emergency loans to these countries, the paper added.
Investors scared by selloff, look to c banks, data

26 Oct, 2008, 1257 hrs IST, REUTERS
SINGAPORE: Investors unnerved by a selloff in shares and collapsing currencies are looking ahead to a week that may see a new round of coordinated c
entral bank action to calm markets as well as corporate earnings and key economic data.
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut rates sharply this week in the face of mounting turmoil that has hit the United States and the developed economies of Europe as well as emerging markets in Asia and Latin America.
Advance third-quarter US economic growth data due on Thursday is expected to show a 0.5 per cent contraction in gross domestic product after 2.8 per cent growth in the previous quarter. "Increasingly, the signs point to a deep and synchronized global recession," JPMorgan economist Bruce Kasman said. "It is still too early to accurately gauge the depth of the downturn, as the outlook depends on how well policy actions contain the financial crisis."
The likelihood of the Fed slashing interest rates by 50 basis point stood at 74 percent on Sunday and at 26 percent for a cut of 75 basis points to 0.75 percent.
Asian and European leaders closed ranks over the weekend to bolster confidence among investors who fear that the worst financial crisis in 80 years has ushered in a deep and damaging world recession.
FEND OFF RISKS
"We must use every means to prevent the financial crisis impacting growth of the real economy," Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao said at the end of a two-day summit of 43 Asian and European leaders in Beijing.
China's central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan was on Sunday quoted as saying that Asia's second-largest economy is in good condition but needed to be on guard to fend off risks created by the turmoil.
Officials in Russia said its central bank has the means to control sharp fluctuations in its currency, but does not yet see the need to limit capital movements or change the ruble's trading corridor.
"Just because the global financial crisis has hit our shores, does not mean that the ruble has to be significantly devalued," the bank's first deputy chairman Alexei Ulyukaev said.
Governments have pledged about $4 trillion to support banks and restart money markets to try to stem the crisis and are considering tougher financial rules to guard against any repeat.
Foreign exchange analysts said extreme currency volatility, which has seen moves of a staggering 10 percent on some big rates on Friday alone, could see the Group of Seven or 20 top central banks intervening soon to stabilize world markets.
EARNINGS GLOOM
The US dollar surged to two-year peaks versus a basket of currencies as dismal European economic data reinforced investor fears of a global recession. The yen soared to multi-year highs versus the dollar and euro on the ensuing risk aversion, while at its low on Friday the British pound suffered its biggest one-day percentage drop against the U.S. currency since September 1992.
Market participants will also be bracing for new signs of weakness in corporate earnings and gloomy statements on the future in what is going to be a heavy week of quarterly earnings reports.
Last week, Sony Corp shocked investors when it unveiled a drop in profit and slashed its earnings outlook, reflecting weaker demand for its cameras and television sets. Its shares fell 13 per cent.
US companies reporting earnings this week include United States Steel Corp, Procter & Gamble, Legg Mason, Kraft Foods, MetLife and Sun Microsystems.
In Europe, reporting companies include Banco Santander, BP, Alcatel-Lucent, France Telecom and Deutsche Bank.
Asia, Europe pledges on financial crisis leave questions

26 Oct, 2008, 0934 hrs IST, AGENCIES
BEIJING: Asian and European leaders made a big effort at a summit here to show a united front in fighting the global economic crisis, but analysts q
uestion if it will translate into quick, firm action as promised.
The leaders of more than 40 countries emerged from two days of talks pledging to comprehensively reshape the world's financial system, and that concrete steps would be taken at an emergency meeting in Washington next month.
The bold statements from the Asia-Europe Meeting (ASEM) appeared to be a victory for French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who made it clear his main goal in Beijing was to win Asian support for his ambitious financial reform plans.
Sarkozy is looking to completely reshape the global economic structure to replace the Bretton Woods system that has governed international finance since the end of World War II, with the Washington summit to kick off the process.
"The fact that so quickly all the Asian leaders agreed on the principles that we brought to this meeting is a good demonstration of the possibility of reaching a consensus," European Commission chief Jose Manuel Barroso told AFP.
But the statements that emerged out of the ASEM forum appeared to be more a show of unity to a frightened public as the global financial crisis deepens, with no actual firm plans presented, according to some economists and analysts.
"My impression is that there's a lot of warm words but there doesn't seem to have been much move towards any firm coordinated action," said Mark Williams, a London-based economist with Capital Economics research consultancy.
"I'm sceptical as to whether anything more will emerge in Washington in a couple of weeks' time."
The emergency Washington summit on November 15 will gather the Group of 20 largest industrialised countries and developing economies to look at ways to end the worst financial meltdown since the Great Depression.
While Sarkozy and many in Europe are looking for wholesale restructuring of the financial system with a far greater regulatory oversight, US President George W. Bush has insisted the tenets of the free market must remain.
"As we focus on responses to our short-term challenges, our nations must also recommit to the fundamentals of long-term economic growth -- free markets, free enterprise and free trade," Bush said on Saturday.
Post-crisis world must avoid 'trap' of over-regulating market: OECD

26 Oct, 2008, 0851 hrs IST, AGENCIES
PARIS: The world has been saved from another Great Depression by massive state intervention, the OECD's chief economist said, but he warned of the "
trap" of excessive regulation as the debate about global financial reform heats up.
"This is the worst financial crisis in decades, but a repeat of the 1930s Great Depression is highly unlikely, thanks in large part to those massive rescue plans now in place," said Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel.
Big changes are needed in financial and capital markets but governments must avoid the "trap" of a regulatory over-reaction, he said in an interview in the OECD Observer magazine to be published on Monday.
"Excessive regulation can do damage too, by inhibiting future financial innovations, market integration and growth," said the top economist at the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, one of the main forums for
international policy-making.
"We require better regulation, not just more regulation," he said in the interview in which he predicted that many of the 30 OECD economies will slip into recession and that recovery from the world economic slowdown will take longer than was the case after previous downturns.
Schmidt-Hebbel's interview previewed the Paris-based OECD's keenly-awaited Economic Outlook report due next month which will examine the impact of the financial crisis on the real economy and ask what lessons can be drawn from it.
His comments came as world leaders meeting in Beijing this weekend vowed to overhaul the global financial system to avoid a repeat of the current financial crisis sparked by the collapse of the US subprime mortgage market.
Governments have pumped hundreds of billions of dollars into the banking system to try to prevent a global recession, get banks lending again and calm panicky stock markets that have swung wildly in recent weeks.
Everyone agrees that change is needed in the financial system, but leaders disagree on how radical the reform should be.
Should the unprecedented state intervention of the last two weeks to save banks in Europe and the US be seen as a temporary move by governments as lenders of last resort in line with the lessons of the 1930s Depression?
Or should it be the start of a reversal of the opening up and deregulation of global markets since the 1980s?
French President Nicolas Sarkozy appears to be leading the latter camp of critics of US-style free market capitalism.
He declared on Thursday that "the ideology of the dictatorship of the market is dead" and announced a French sovereign wealth fund to "intervene massively" in companies of national strategic importance. But the leaders of the United States, Britain and Germany take a far less radical view.
US President George W. Bush, moving to set an agenda for a key international economic summit in Washington on November 15, said Saturday that its participants must "recommit" to the principles of free enterprise and free trade. The US summit is being billed as a Bretton Woods II, a follow-up to the conference after World War II which founded the system of the last 60 years based on the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the body now known as the World Trade Organization.
Schmidt-Hebbel in his interview with the OECD Observer identified four main types of systemic weakness which nearly brought the global financial system crashing down.
The first was poor company management, combined with huge incentives for top people in finance, lack of information about risks, weak supervision of credit rating agencies, and weak supervisory regulations in many countries.
"Regulatory omissions and failures were rife," he told the magazine. Also, steps had to be taken to ensure that in future financiers did not "assume bailouts are the norm."

'Brand America' dented by crisis but still admired in China

26 Oct, 2008, 0846 hrs IST, AGENCIES
SHANGHAI: China-based accountants Lehman Brown refused to budge when lawyers acting for a certain Wall Street investment bank sent threatening lette
rs demanding they change their name. The letters have stopped now, but the accountants are suddenly open to a name change, said Dickson Leung, a senior partner at the firm.
Lehman Brothers' bankruptcy and the global crisis that followed has led some in China to reassess their view of Wall Street, especially against the backdrop of their own country's remarkable rise.
"From a Chinese perspective, in the past people thought: 'Wall Street -- that's where people make a lot of money'," Leung said by telephone from Beijing."Now the Chinese might be thinking: 'Who knows? Maybe we can do better, we can create another Wall Street in China'," he said.
The accounting firm's name -- the surnames of its US expatriate founders -- attracted clients because it sounded "very American", Leung said, insisting the company had not just tried to copy the famous bank's similar moniker.
But bankruptcy carries a harsh stigma in China and now prospective clients could see it as unlucky, he admitted.
Though dented, "Brand America" remains much admired in China -- but at the same time the Chinese are keenly aware the tectonic shifts in the global economy may also be their break-out chance.
If the money trail is any indication, Chinese ties to the US are stronger than ever. The Chinese government remains one of the biggest financers of US debt and this month two Chinese banks opened their first US branches to keep pace with their clients' expansion into the United States.
Despite the turmoil, trust in American consumer brands is at an all-time high due to China's contaminated milk scandal, which led to more than 53,000 children falling ill, said Shaun Rein, managing director of China Market Research Group.
"They feel there is better quality control, people aren't going to cut corners, put in bad ingredients in order to make money," Rein said. "So on the consumer side, that 'Made in America' label is still very powerful."
But at the same time, confidence in US financial institutions has plummeted, Rein said, citing surveys his firm conducted in 10 cities across China.
"They want to take their money out of Citibank and they want to put it in Bank of China," he said. Chinese business schools will continue to study US case studies for best practices, said Liu Shengjun, assistant director of China Europe International Business School's Case Development Centre.
But US corporate governance cases are a different story, he said. The current meltdown and episodes like the collapse of Enron, amid some 40 billion dollars in hidden debt, had taken its toll on corporate America's reputation. "People here used to worship the US model, which seemed very successful," Liu said. "The image of US financial institutions is now a lot worse," he said.
But on a busy Shanghai street corner, Lao Li said the financial crisis had not hurt demand for the pirated Hollywood DVDs he sells from boxes on the back of his bicycle.
"In bad times people like to watch American comedies," he said. "They are selling really well."
As millions of Chinese move daily to cities from the countryside they arrive wanting cars, gadgets and appliances -- success as defined by American lifestyles, Martin Rolls, author of "Asian Brand Strategy" said.
"Brand America is still very strong and it will be for a very long time because it carries a lot of the connotations of dreams, of aspirations," Rolls told AFP.
"You can reach out for the skies, you can build something global. We still haven't seen truly global companies out of China."
Tian Bo, who repairs bicycles at the side of the road in the centre of Shanghai, agrees China is not yet ready to look away from the US.
"To me the United States is a place with many rich people that is advanced in so many ways," Tian said. "Even if they are having troubles, a skeletal camel is still bigger than a horse."
Japan eyes tougher rules on short-selling: Nikkei

26 Oct, 2008, 1830 hrs IST, REUTERS
TOKYO: The Japanese government is considering banning so-called naked short-selling and introducing a rule requiring stock investors to disclose mass
ive short-selling transactions, the Nikkei business daily reported on Sunday.
The moves would be part of a set of emergency market-stability measures that the government could announce as early as the start of the week, the paper said.
The Nikkei share average fell to a 5-½ year low on Friday, losing half its value so far this year, on worries that Japanese corporate earnings will be hurt by a rise in the yen and a severe slowdown in the world economy.
China's CIC chief defends investments, Blackstone

26 Oct, 2008, 2028 hrs IST, AGENCIES
BEIJING: The chairman of China's sovereign wealth fund has defended its operations, saying its investment in U.S. private equity firm Blackstone will
pay off in the long run, and noted it holds over 90 percent of its assets in cash just as global equity markets are plummeting.
China Investment Corp (CIC) bought its original stake in Blackstone just before the company's $31-a-share initial public offering in June 2007, but has seen the value of its investment sink as a year-long crisis froze credit markets, prompting widespread criticism.
Blackstone's shares ended Friday trade at $7.89. "CIC has been very stable so far, because at a time when global stock markets are dropping dramatically, it has more than 90 percent of its assets in cash," the official Shanghai Securities News cited Lou Jiwei, head of CIC, as saying.
Lou added the current economic environment in the United States presented good opportunities for Blackstone.
"In the long run, Blackstone is a very good investment," Shanghai Securities News paraphrased Lou as saying.
Lou confirmed CIC had already increased its investment in Blackstone to more than 10 percent, the paper said, but did not give a definite figure.
A source familiar with the situation told Reuters this month that CIC intended to boost its stake to 12.5 percent from the original 9.9 percent via buying shares on the open market after the two sides agreed to raise the ownership limit to that level.
On future investment plans, Lou said: "CIC is watching the markets closely every day, but we are still laying our tracks and reviewing the composition of our assets."
UNICEF: SCs/STs account for 50% pregnancy deaths
11 Oct 2008, 0312 hrs IST, Himanshi Dhawan , TNN
NEW DELHI: Of the 301 women who die annually for every 1,00,000 live births, there are many stories that go untold. New data suggests that among the
women dying during pregnancy, delivery or post-partum complications, a large proportion — about 50% — are from the scheduled castes and scheduled tribes.
According to data collected by Unicef from 16 districts of Rajasthan, West Bengal, Orissa, Jharkhand and Madhya Pradesh, the maternal mortality ratio (MMR) shows that women are dying of preventable causes of death.
In the first phase of implementation of Unicef's maternal and perinatal death inquiry and response (MAPEDIR), cases of 1,600 women were analysed. While in Dholpur (Rajasthan), 49% of deaths were from SC/STs, in Purulia (West Bengal) of the 375 deaths examined between 2005 and 2008, 51% were from SC/STs.
In Ranchi (Jharkhand), 123 deaths in the last year were examined, of which 56% were from SC/STs and in 8 districts of Orissa — including Koraput, Rayagada, Kalahandi, Nuapada, Bolangir and Sonepur — the percentage of SC/ST deaths was as high as 68. In Madhya Pradesh's Shivpuri district, 60% of the deaths were of SC/STs while in Guna district the figure was 49.4%.
In some states, the MMR was higher that the national average of 301 — 358 in Orissa, 371 in Bihar and 379 in MP. Since many deaths occurred in the anonymity of women's homes or on the way to seek help at a medical facility, they often go unrecorded. An estimated 80,000 pregnant women or new mothers die each year in India often from preventable causes, including haemorrhage, eclampsia, sepsis and anaemia.
"The tragic reality is that too often maternal deaths are not visible. They don't leave any trace behind, and their deaths are not accounted for," Chris Hirabayashi, Unicef India deputy director of programmes, stating that Unicef was committed to continue working with the National Rural Health Mission to promote surveillance as a key strategy to lower maternal and child mortality.
For India to achieve the Millennium Development Goal of reducing maternal mortality by three quarters by 2015, social and economic factors like the low status of women in communities, the poor understanding of families on when to seek care, lack of transport, poor roads, the cost of seeking care, multiple referrals to different health facilities and delay in life-saving measures in rural areas need to be addressed. For the survey, a team of state government health and nutrition officials and NGO members, headed by a member of the local village council, conducted interviews with surviving family members at the community-level.
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/India/UNICEF_SCsSTs_account_for_50_pregnancy_deaths_/articleshow/3582351.cms
GLOBAL: Climate change may drown cities
Photo: Manoocher Deghati/IRIN
Sea level rise and surge-induced flooding threatens more than 3,000 cities
JOHANNESBURG, 24 October 2008 (IRIN) - People in Dhaka, the capital of Bangladesh, prefer to commute in three-wheeled autorickshaws, taxis and buses that run on compressed natural gas (CNG), in their bid to slow down global warming.
CNG produces a lower level of greenhouse gases and is an environmentally cleaner alternative to petrol. Dhaka's residents are among the most vulnerable to global warming and don't want to become "climate terrorists".
The city is among more than 3,000 identified by the UN-Habitat's State of the World's Cities 2008/09 as facing the prospect of sea level rise and surge-induced flooding. The report warns policymakers, planners and the world at large that few coastal cities will be spared the effects of global warming.
Asia accounts for more than half the most vulnerable cities, followed by Latin America and the Caribbean (27 percent) and Africa (15 percent); two-thirds of the cities are in Europe, and almost one-fifth of all cities in North America are in Low Elevation Coastal Zones (LECZ).
During the 1900s, sea levels rose by an estimated 17cm; global mean projections for sea level rise between 1990 and 2080 range from 22cm to 34cm, according to the UN-Habitat researchers.
The report points out that by 2070, urban populations in river delta cities, such as Dhaka, Kolkata (India), Yangon (Myanmar), and Hai Phong (on the coast near Hanoi in Vietnam), which already experience a high risk of flooding, will join the group of populations most exposed to this danger. Port cities in Bangladesh, China, Thailand, Vietnam, and India will have joined the ranks of cities whose assets are most at risk.
African coastal cities that could be severely be affected by rising sea levels include Abidjan (Cote d'Ivoire), Accra (Ghana), Alexandria (Egypt), Algiers (Algeria), Cape Town (South Africa), Casablanca (Morocco), Dakar (Senegal), Dar es Salaam (Tanzania), Djibouti (Djibouti), Durban (South Africa), Freetown (Sierra Leone), Lagos (Nigeria), Libreville (Gabon), Lome (Togo), Luanda (Angola), Maputo (Mozambique), Mombasa (Kenya), Port Louis (Mauritius), and Tunis (Tunisia).
Dhaka is wedged between huge rivers like the Ganges and the Brahmaputra, with hundreds of tributaries swollen with increasing glacial melt from the Himalayan ranges as a result of soaring global temperatures.
"The elevation in Dhaka ranges between two and 13 metres above sea level, which means that even a slight rise in sea level is likely to engulf large parts of the city. Moreover, high urban growth rates and high urban densities have already made Dhaka more susceptible to human-induced environmental disasters," said the UN-Habitat report.
The sheer number of people living in the city means that the negative consequences of climate change are likely to be felt by a large number of people, especially the urban poor who live in flood-prone and water-logged areas
"With an urban growth rate of more than four percent annually, Dhaka, which already hosts more than 13 million people, is one of the fastest growing cities in Southern Asia, and is projected to accommodate more than 20 million by 2025.
"The sheer number of people living in the city means that the negative consequences of climate change are likely to be felt by a large number of people, especially the urban poor who live in flood-prone and water-logged areas."
A total 634 million people in the world live in LECZ that lie at or below 10 metres above sea level, according to a recent report,Planet Prepare, by World Vision, a Christian relief, development and advocacy organisation. Although LECZ constitute only two percent of the earth's landmass, they contain 10 percent of its population and have a higher rate of urbanisation than the rest of the world.
Ban Ki-moon, Secretary-General of the UN, notes his concern about the prospect of large-scale devastation in his foreword to the UN-Habitat report, saying: "Cities embody some of society's most pressing challenges, from pollution and disease to unemployment and lack of adequate shelter. But cities are also venues where rapid, dramatic change is not just possible but expected."
Dhaka is preparing for flood protection. The government, prompted by frequent flooding in the 1980s, has already completed embankments, reinforced concrete walls and pumping stations in the most densely populated part of the city.
The UN report cautioned that Dhaka's solutions should also take into consideration unresolved development problems, such as the growing slum population, which has doubled in the last decade and shows no signs of abating.
The World Vision report pointed out that other urban centres not physically challenged by global warming would also face tremendous challenges, with the possible influx of "environmental refugees" from affected cities.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has urged global greenhouse gas emission reductions of 50 percent to 85 percent by 2050, based on 2000 emissions, to avoid a 2°Celsius increase in global mean temperature.
Such an increase is expected to destroy 30 percent to 40 percent of all known species, generate bigger, fiercer and more frequent heat waves and droughts, and more intense weather events like floods and cyclones.
The IPCC and activists have called on the global community to focus on preventing global warming from crossing the perilous 2°C threshold, which requires keeping atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations below 350ppm (parts per million).
"The problem is, they [concentrations] already stand at 385ppm (2008), rising by 2ppm annually," said the World Vision report. "Since there are no rewind buttons for running down emitted greenhouse gas stocks, implicational reasoning suggests immediate and stringent emissions cuts."
Eminent scientists, such as James E. Hansen, who heads NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, are warning that even the 2-degree threshold may likely not be safe enough to avoid "global disaster".
http://www.irinnews.org/Report.aspx?ReportId=81117
PAKISTAN: Rising food prices hit the poor hardest
Photo: IRIN
A girl picks through a garbage heap; the looming food crisis has added to the desperation of many impoverished families
KARACHI, 23 October 2008 (IRIN) - Zaheer Ahmed, a daily wage earner in Karachi, finds it increasingly difficult to meet household bills on the Rs 350 (US$4.37) a day he earns.
After deducting the cost of one meal and two cups of tea that he has during the day for Rs 60 (73 US cents) and the bus fare (another Rs 60 or 73 cents), he is left with Rs 230 ($2.82) to take home.
“Ten years ago, I was earning Rs 70 [86 US cents per day] but I was a happy man. I had enough to eat yet there was a little to put aside,” said Ahmed.
While Ahmed may not understand what a 25 percent inflation rate means to Pakistan’s economy, he does know that he is far poorer than he ever was and that his family “never has enough to eat however hard I work”.
“My wages may have increased, but they have not kept pace with the runaway food prices,” he said.
A 16 October 2008 Oxfam briefing paper entitled Double-Edged Prices said the price of wheat flour in Pakistan increased 100 percent between January 2007 and April 2008. Dawn newspaper said the poorest 20 percent of the population spent 50-58 percent of their income on cereals alone.

Photo: Kamila Hyat/IRIN
Oxfam says the price of wheat flour - used in baking 'roti' or flat bread - increased 100 percent between January 2007 and April 2008 in Pakistan
In the wake of a severe wheat crisis compounded by the smuggling of wheat to Afghanistan, the price of the staple `roti’ bread has risen to Rs 6 (0.07 US cents). Rice, pulses, edible oil and sugar have also gone up sharply. Angry masses are coming out onto the streets every day demanding the new government to do more, say experts.
“The general feeling is that there is no difference between the previous and the present government’s policies to address looming food insecurity, energy crises and price hikes,” said Mohammad Zia-ur-Rehman, national coordinator for the Global Coalition Against Poverty (GCAP).
“We want public accountability, just governance, less spending on defence and no foreign loans,” said Rehman.
Nationwide rallies held 17-19 October to mark the International Day for the Eradication of Poverty demanded an immediate freeze of utility prices; new policies to combat the current food, energy and security crises; land reforms; and strong action against corruption and smuggling, according to Rehman.
“A nation of freeloaders”
Abdul Sattar Edhi, head of the well-known Edhi Foundation charity, warned of mass deaths due to hunger.
However, he said citizens were equally to blame for the current crisis.

Photo: Zofeen Ebrahim/IRIN
Maulana Abdul Sattar Edhi
“We consume tea worth Rs 500 million [US$6 million] and Rs 300 million worth of cigarettes. Nobody is willing to drink one less cup of tea or give up smoking,” he said.
He said the government had been left to clean up the economic mess left by military rule. “They cannot do anything to bail us out except ask for loans from the West,” he said.
“We are a nation of freeloaders who will steal water and electricity from the government and then waste it too,” he said. “We don’t pay our taxes. So who are we to complain or make tall demands?”
Seventy million of the country’s 168 million people have fallen into Oxfam’s “extremely poor” category due to food inflation.
The World Food Programme has warned that 77 million Pakistanis are food insecure. For more on this click here.
The Oxfam report said food shortages had been deliberately created by traders to raise prices. It also lamented the absence of authentic data on food production.
http://www.irinnews.org/Report.aspx?ReportId=81075
Housing lacks sparkle this seasonManish Basu | Sunday, 26 October , 2008, 10:38

The global financial meltdown is expected to dampen the festive season sales of housing this Diwali and also hit Christmas sales, when NRI buying generally peaks.
Land prices firm, for now
Faced with bleak sales projections, some developers are wooing customers with promotional offers, while some others feel the rising construction costs and erosion of profitability will render such freebies unviable this festival.
Realty as long-term investment
Global gloom
“This Diwali will not bring with it the usual festive charm for property transactions as it is bound to be affected by what is happening in the global economy,” said Kumar Gera, Chairman, Confederation of Real-Estate Developers’ Association of India (CREDAI). While housing sales during October-January generally rises anywhere between 30 and 50 per cent compared to the rest of the year, the subdued real-estate market is hardly expected to pick up this year.
Time to ‘think global, invest local’
“The property market is considerably choked this year and the sale will not be more than 10 per cent as compared to previous festive seasons,” said D. P. Jana, erstwhile Vice-Chairman of the West Bengal Housing Development Board.
Realty cools but home retail still hot
“The period between October and January accounts for approximately 40 per cent of the annual sales. However, the sale of houses is expected to contract or at best remain flat this season,” according to Rajesh Goenka, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of the London-headquartered, international property dealer, Axiom Estates. Overall, the housing market has seen a negative growth of up to 20 per cent since March this year.
Home loan rates may come down
“As buying of houses is a one-time decision, customers generally prefer a ‘Subh Muharat’ (auspicious time), boosting transactions in October,” said Pradip Chopra, Chairman, PS group.
Property bust fear haunts Asian banks
Shyam Agarwal, Managing Director, Srijan Properties, however, hopes for increased activity, given the higher disposable income with customers. “Customers are generally on a buying spree from November as servicemen get festive bonus and businessmen book profits. People usually sell stocks for capital gains to increase spending, which, however, will not take place now when the stock markets are tumbling,” he said.
While investors will stay away from the real-estate market over the next 12-18 months, the actual end-users may keep the market relatively alive if inflation maintains the recent declining trend, Agarwal said. The NRI buying during Christmas vacations will likely be subdued as they will delay investment decisions after seeing the plummeting property values in the US and the Europe markets.
Gera, however, felt it is an ideal time for investing in real-estate for capital gains when profitability in other avenues is shrinking.
Sumith Reddy, Head (South India) Maytas Properties, hoped the series of cuts in Cash Reserve Ratio by the Reserve Bank of India and an expected reduction in home loan rates should increase sales in the next couple of months. Abhijit Das, Regional Director, JLL Meghraj, said, “In addition to enhancing liquidity through reduction in CRR or Statutory Liquidity Ratio, the RBI must also make sure that primary and secondary rates are brought down to the 7-8 per cent level in the next three months. Only this kind of aggressive rate cut can have an immediate effect on real-estate consumption in the wake of an overall pessimistic world scenario.”
More, and varied, offers
In order to tide over the erosion of demand during the peak season, developers will come up with different promotional offers, Gera said. “Other than direct discounts, a lot of freebies will also be offered, such as free air-conditioning, fitted kitchen, free stamp duty and registration charges,” he said. His own company, for instance, would help new owners in leasing out houses if they book during the festive season, he added.
More India business stories
Sujit Kanoria, Managing Director, Shristi Infrastructure Development Corporation, said the over-supply of built-up area in North and Western India, in places such as Mumbai, Pune, Gurgaon and Noida would lead to free gifts such as car, gold coins, furniture and foreign tours to sell some units. Sushil Mohta, Director, Merlin and South City Properties, said, “The festive spirit will be complemented this season by discount schemes from various home décor brands. There will also be some tie-ups with leading banks to offer on-spot approval of loans.”
Deb Prosad De, Director, Bengal Park Chambers Housing Development, however, felt the free offers would be much less this year as such efforts, coupled with rising construction costs, would shrink profitability. “Developers will prefer to tide over the slump rather than give discounts,” he said. “As of now, no promotional offers have been announced in the Kolkata market,” said Das of JLL Meghraj.
http://sify.com/finance/fullstory.php?id=14784631
siblings overtake Mittal in wealth erosionSunday, 26 October , 2008, 14:57
Mumbai: The focus is always on who is the richest among Ambani brothers and Lakshmi Mittal but Mukesh and Anil are ahead of the India-born steel tycoon in terms of losses suffered due to the global stock meltdown.
Special: The Great Crash of 2008
But in terms of loss in percentage terms, realtors Ramesh Chandra of Unitech and K P Singh of DLF are among the top losers, an analysis of group market capitalisation and shareholding value of the 10 richest Indians reveals.
Top-10 firms lose Rs 1.5 trillion; RIL worst hit
Since the market peaked in January, the groups led by 10 richest Indians have collectively lost over $400 billion (Rs 20,00,000 crore), with promoters accounting for more than the half.
'Mittal loses £16 b in credit crunch'
With share prices falling like a ninepin after the Sensex reached its pinnacle of 21,206.77 points in January, bears are ruling the roost, making it a dark Diwali for the richie-rich Indians.
Buffett, Anil among billionaires betting big on US economy
According to a list of the world's richest billionaires published by American business magazine Forbes in March, Lakshmi Mittal was ranked as the richest Indian, followed by Mukesh Ambani, Anil Ambani, K P Singh, Shashi and Ravi Ruias, Azim Premji, Sunil Mittal, Kumar Mangalam Birla, Ramesh Chandra and Gautam Adani in the top 10.
Anil files Rs 10,000 cr defamation suit against Mukesh
The groups led by these 10 have seen an erosion of 50-93 per cent in their market values since January 10, the day when the Sensex scaled its life-time peak and after which the downslide began on Indian bourses.
LN Mittal loses £7 m per hour
While the US and European bourses had come under pressure months before January 10, Lakshmi Mittal-led ArcelorMottal -- the world's largest steelmaker when the NRI business tycoon holds nearly 45.7 per cent stake -- began feeling the heat only around that time after defying the bear-rampage for some time.
In terms of their personal wealth from holdings in their group companies, Lakshmi Mittal has an erosion of over $31 billion to a net worth of about $13.7 billion now, while that of Mukesh and Anil Ambani are estimated to have dropped by over $40 billion each since January 10.
Among the other major losers K P Singh is estimated to have lost close to $35 billion, while others could have seen an erosion in the range of $5-15 billion.
In its list published in March, Forbes had put collective wealth of these 10, based on figures as on February 11, at $228.6 billion, which is now estimated to have plunged to just about $69 billion.
However, the markets had already gone through one month of downslide when the figures were locked for compilation of this list and at the peak of the domestic market as on January 10, their collective net worth is estimated to have been at around $300 billion.
More India business stories
The quantum of fall in personal wealth of the 10 richest Indians have been calculated assuming that it is equivalent to the proportion of loss in their group valuations.
panic rules investorsAarati Krishnan | Sunday, 26 October , 2008, 11:56

Concerns about a cash crunch and stalled loans batter the stock of realty major Unitech by 49 per cent in a single day. Reports about an accidental breakage in a single turbine blade in the US send the Suzlon Energy stock crashing by 39 per cent in a day. And recurring speculation about vague “financial troubles” culminate in the country’s largest private lender ICICI Bank’s stock plunging 48 per cent in a month.
Time to ‘think global, invest local’
Each of these stocks, all index heavyweights, continued to head southwards even after the companies in question came out strongly to deny rumours and issued clarifications to the stock exchanges. If these are not signs of investors in the grip of unreasoned panic, then it is difficult to say what is.
Sensex plunges by 1274 pts to a near 3-year low
Last week’s rout in the Indian market was flagged off by global events. Tightening liquidity across the world, wildly fluctuating currencies and record stock market volatility appear to have set off a renewed flight of capital from stocks and risky assets such as emerging markets, to safer avenues such as US money market funds.
Sensex heading towards 5,000-level?
With the Asian markets shedding 9-11 per cent on Friday alone, Indian stocks could not have remained resilient. But if global events triggered the fall, the local rumour mills certainly added another dimension to this meltdown, causing unprecedented damage to investor wealth.
'Sell' calls send Dalal St under
With unconfirmed rumours and vague doubts now doing the rounds, factors that drive good investment decisions — business fundamentals and valuations — are giving way to irrational panic.
16 milestones in one year for Sensex
Panic rules
The recent wave of selling that inflicted such damage to quality stocks is just as manic as the bull-run that took the Sensex from 17000 to 21000 last year. In the heady days of December or January, the smallest whiff of a new “order” bagged or the value of the ‘land bank’ held by a company, was enough to send a stock whizzing into the stratosphere.
The market today is in the diametrically opposite frame of mind — where every bit of news is bad news. It is surely a sign of the times when a sharp cut in interest rates by the central bank, breaking a four-year trend of rising rates, passes unnoticed by the stock market.
Rising interest rates have been a key risk factor for the earnings of Indian companies for a year now and were the key reason for the spate of earnings downgrades over the past year. But the market moves since then suggest that ‘investors’, or the traders who really pass for investors, weren’t looking at interest rates. Instead, they were probably glued to television sets trying to figure out the Dow’s next move!
Fragile edifice
The debilitating damage caused to Indian stocks by FII pullouts drives home one point.
Despite a large and resilient economy, bright growth potential, over 7000 listed businesses and a large hoard of savings, the market structure rests on a fragile edifice.
With the FIIs holding large amounts of floating stock in the listed companies and domestic institutions remaining fringe players, market levels and valuations for Indian businesses remain largely at the mercy of the FIIs. If FIIs, pressured by their liquidity problems, sold stocks, domestic investors have displayed little conviction about the long-term prospects of Indian businesses, largely ignoring them, even the rock-bottom valuations. Direct domestic participation in the stock market is high; in fact, large enough to match the transaction volumes of the FIIs on a daily basis.
But the high transaction volumes haven’t translated into any material or consistent buying in stocks over the past few months, suggesting that the bulk of the domestic participants are in for the short term.
Dwindling resources
Yes, domestic institutions such as mutual funds have consistently been on the “buy” side of the market in the past ten months. But their resources are clearly drying up, without regular inflows from retail investors.
Clearly, the five-year bull-run has caused individual investors to skip a few important lessons in their homework and in assessing the risk appetite required for equity investing.
The bear market now offers a breather that must be used to discourage retail investors from day-to-day “punting”, to actually investing money in quality stocks for the long term, through professional managers.
For now, though, investors need to take note that indiscriminately selling quality businesses at today’s throwaway prices can inflict as much damage to your wealth, as did the uninformed buying at stratospheric Sensex levels.
More India business stories
Given the magnitude of losses that investor portfolios are likely to be carrying today, there is only one investment that can help you recoup some of this lost money and that is — stocks. Turning completely risk-averse and switching all your money into safe options such as debt or gold at this juncture could lock you out of any potential recovery in stocks even over the next year or two.
Remember, the Sensex at 8700, or even at the 13000 mark, represents a 50 per cent gain over today’s equity prices.
http://sify.com/finance/fullstory.php?id=14784675
In India, Global Crisis Is Not All Bad News
One Industry Sees Opportunities, Lessons

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By Rama Lakshmi
Washington Post Foreign Service
Sunday, October 26, 2008; Page A22
GURGAON, India -- In the mortgage crisis that has enveloped much of the Western world in recent weeks, Manoj Malhotra's outsourcing company sees an enhanced business opportunity.
As lenders in the United States and Europe move to firm up loans, sharpening quality control and fraud verification, the Gurgaon-based company that Malhotra heads has designed a Web program to help them do just that.
"The loan processing industry needs less of manual intervention and subjectivity and more of technology-based solutions, especially in the current climate," said Malhotra, who launched the program at a mortgage industry conference in San Francisco last week.
His company, Salient Business Solutions, is not the only one in this country to see opportunities and lessons in the global financial meltdown.
Indians working in information technology and outsourcing have long shared a joke: "When America sneezes, our industry will catch a cold here in India."
But as the credit crisis drags down the U.S. economy, India's booming technology and outsourcing industry is taking steps to boost its resistance to infection. Taking the crisis as a warning, it is hastening efforts to reduce dependence on U.S. and European companies, scale up high-end products and services, find new ways of billing and move beyond merely leveraging the low-cost, English-speaker advantage.

About 60 percent of India's outsourcing business comes from the United States, and 40 percent of the work is in the banking, insurance and financial services sectors.
"We now have to look at other regions of the world, like Japan, the Middle East and the Nordic countries," said Som Mittal, president of the National Association of Software and Services Companies, or Nasscom. "The current crisis has sharpened our realization that we cannot put all our eggs in the U.S. basket."
The industry revised an estimate of 30 percent annual growth to 24 percent this year. But it has undergone a transformation in the past five years, and many observers say that will help provide a cushion in the U.S. crisis. Besides trying to diversify into other parts of the world, India's outsourcing industry has tried to wean itself from the banking and finance industries, attracting work from American health-care, aviation and utilities companies.
Perhaps the biggest and most sustaining change has been its climb up the value chain of services in recent years -- from back-office support functions to what the industry calls "knowledge process outsourcing," which includes legal services, hardware network management and engineering design.
The ubiquitous tech-support and customer-service call centers and software coding services are, in fact, considered the low-end level of the industry, although they still constitute about 60 percent of India's offshoring business.
One of the country's biggest technology companies, Bangalore-based Infosys, has been making a deliberate effort to scale back assembly-line software development and ramp up more technically complex services such as engineering design.
"It is a strategic shift we began making some years ago," said S. Gopalakrishnan, the company's chief executive officer. "Our efforts to expand our services to include high-end consulting, systems management and product engineering and design work may help weather the storm."
Infosys's fastest-growing business is in product and machine design for American aerospace, automobile and construction firms, but the company has also set up consulting businesses in China, the Middle East and Mexico.
Meanwhile, the legal services branch of India's outsourcing industry is experiencing a boost as a direct result of the global crisis, as bankruptcies, mergers and acquisitions proliferate and demand grows for help with litigation.
"It is difficult to find lawyers now -- there is a shortage," said Anand Maheshwari, director of Intrust Global eServices. "This wasn't the case three months ago. The litigation work is booming in this chaos and crisis."
Still, the industry has not escaped ill effects of the crisis. Gopalakrishnan cut back Infosys's revenue estimate for the year by about 4 percent. He said his clients have slowed launching new projects and investments. Infosys is offering a pay-as-you-use business model to clients faced with a cash crunch. Under this model, the client will pay only for the software service and not for hardware and maintenance of the program.
To cut costs for their clients, many in the industry are thinking of shifting away from the seven big, booming and expensive Indian cities where 90 percent of offices are located. The industry forum, Nasscom, has urged its member businesses to go deeper into the hinterlands and identified 43 second-tier cities they might consider.
Fresh hiring by the industry has slowed in the past three months, although there have been no layoffs yet.
"There is already a drop of 20 percent in hiring from engineering campuses. Nobody is making big hiring commitments," said Pratik Kumar, executive vice president for human resources at Wipro, a large information technology and outsourcing company. "Companies will no longer maintain large benches," he said, referring to the practice of keeping engineers on standby for anticipated offshoring work.
Many new graduates are being told to wait longer before they can step into their first jobs.
For engineering graduate Pooja Shetty, 22, the wait will be almost a year. She was offered a job, but now the software company wants her to report for work in April.
"The company said there is no immediate requirement," Shetty said. "There are very few jobs now. I have no choice but to wait. This is the only thing we talk about in our Yahoo friends group these days."
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/10/25/AR2008102501861.html?hpid=topnews
Deadly polio strain from Bihar creating havoc in UP
New Delhi (IANS): Uttar Pradesh has once again emerged as a hotbed for P 1, the most deadly polio strain, which was slowly being eliminated in India. But Uttar Pradesh, the country's most populous State, is again seeing a surge in the paralytic disease thanks to the virus being imported from neighbouring Bihar.
Though Uttar Pradesh was earlier described as the "world's most tenacious reservoir of P 1 poliovirus" by World Health Organisation (WHO) Director-General Margaret Chan, the state remained free of the most dangerous and fast travelling virus for a record one-and-a-half years.
But it resurfaced in Uttar Pradesh when the strain was imported from Bihar this year. And as the strain moves fast it has so far infected 47 people till Oct 17.
"All the cases in UP this year have been caused by an importation from Bihar and none by continuing transmission in the state," Hamid Jafari, Project Manager, WHO-NPSP (National Polio Surveillance Project), told IANS.
Jafari said as a "local circulation of this imported virus got established in western UP", the subsequent polio cases were traced to the same family of P 1 poliovirus that got introduced from Bihar.
This year, till Oct. 17, a total of 486 polio cases were reported, of which 55 were infected with P 1 and the rest suffered from P 3 virus.
Apart from infecting 47 people in Uttar Pradesh, the deadly strain was also reported from Bihar (2), Delhi (2), Orissa, West Bengal, Assam and Punjab where one case each was registered.
But the maximum cases of the strain, 648, were seen in 2006. It declined to 83 in 2007. In 2006, a total of 676 cases were reported in the country, while in 2007, the figure was 874.
India is one of the four countries in the world where polio is endemic. According to the Global Polio Eradication Imitative, Nigeria reported 728 polio cases this year, pushing India to second place, followed by Pakistan (81) and Afghanistan (22).
Jafari said the India Expert Advisory Group on polio eradication had said during its recent meeting that there was a risk of the country's most endemic region, western Uttar Pradesh, getting re-infected with P 1 as the virus transmission persists in Bihar. They had recommended rapid and intense mop-ups to eradicate the virus.
Following the suggestion of the expert committee, monovalent oral polio vaccine type 3 (mOPV3), which targets P 1, is being carried out in Bihar to stop its circulation and prevent re-importation, he added.
The WHO official said the transmission of the most dangerous polio virus and which is the focus of the eradication programme in India is at a historic low following intense immunisation campaigns.
"The most impressive progress has been in Uttar Pradesh, which for the first time in history stopped P 1 transmission in November 2007. The core endemic areas of western Uttar Pradesh - Moradabad and adjoining districts, the epicentre of all polio outbreaks, - remained free of this strain for a record one-and-a-half-year period up to mid 2008," Jafari said.
Health ministry officials said a P 1 case was reported in May this year from the Badaun area of Uttar Pradesh.
"A genetic sequencing traced it to Bihar. As the strain travels fast and there is a susceptible population, it spread again," the official with the NPSP, which plans and implements the polio immunisation activities in the country, told IANS.
The only silver lining for health workers seemed to be that Bihar, the other endemic state of the country, reported only two P 1 cases this year.
"It is a historic achievement. This progress follows aggressive immunisation campaigns combined with intense efforts to bridge operational gaps in the access-compromised Kosi river districts, the only area in the country by 2007-end where P 1 transmission continued," Jafari said.
He said by 2007-end, P 1 virus stopped in all but the Kosi river districts of Bihar.
However, officials and health workers continue to worry about the continued reporting of P 3 strain in the country, which was also exported to Angola. The virus had travelled from Uttar Pradesh.
Right on track: Apollo Hospitals, Fortis Healthcare

26 Oct, 2008, 0418 hrs IST,Amitabh Baxi, ET Bureau

Apollo Hospitals
Turnover: 1,150 cr (Mar ’08)


Today Apollo Hospitals is the country’s premier healthcare provider and has played a pioneering role in helping India become a global healthcare hub.

The group today includes over 43 hospitals in India and overseas, diagnostic clinics, Apollo pharmacies, medical BPO and health insurance services and clinical research divisions.

Says Dr Hariprasad, CEO, Apollo Health City, Hyderabad: “Healthcare industry in India is unaffected by the current recessionary trends, our patient flow, revenues remain unaffected. Therefore our growth and expansion will be on track as planned.”

He adds that “as the dollar is strengthened and also due to huge recession in US and developed countries, more patients can be expected to travel to India from other countries for their healthcare needs, this gives further boost to the industry here.”


Fortis Healthcare
Turnover: 548 cr (Mar ’08)

The group has drawn a blueprint for technology upgradation at its various hospitals.

This is designed to equip the hospitals with cutting edge diagnostics capabilities and latest medical equipment for quality medical services.

“Healthcare being a need-based industry, there’s not much impact of the slowdown. There’s a huge shortage of capacity and how you deliver value and quality care are important. Of course, some players who have over extended their expansion plans may have issues with raising debt and meeting cash flows. All our initiatives, however, are on track and we see a huge potential in preventive healthcare,” says Sudarshan Mazumdar, CEO, Fortis Healthcare.

Dreams grounded: Jet Airways, Kingfisher Airlines


26 Oct, 2008, 0457 hrs IST,Raja Awasthi, ET Bureau

Jet Airways
Turnover: 2,759 cr (Mar ’08)
Marketshare: 26%


India’s biggest private airline, Jet Airways has put all its expansion plans on hold. Now the airline’s top brass says it wants to rationalise operations and derive maximum synergies.

“Reconsideration of our operations has been ongoing for some time now and this adjustment in personnel numbers did not result from the planned alliance with Kingfisher Airlines. If at all, improved economies in other areas would obviate such steps in future,” said a senior airline official.

The latest decision comes on the heels of the voluntary retirement scheme offered by the airline to 687 staff of JetLite, its 100% subsidiary, which was taken up by 387 personnel.

According to sources, these were exceptional times and company has put its fleet expansion on hold, curtailed flights and grounded some aircraft as well.


Kingfisher Airlines
Turnover: 557 cr (Mar ’08)
Marketshare: 15%

The turbulence in the air is evident from the fact that two major airlines, Jet Airways and Kingfisher Airlines, had to announce an agreement to the formation of an alliance of wide-ranging proportions that will help both carriers to significantly rationalise and reduce costs and provide improved standards of service and a wider choice of air travel options to consumers with immediate effect.

After Jet Airways gave pink slip to many of its staff, Kingfisher followed with reduction the salary of its co-pilots.

“With a view to tiding over the ongoing turbulence in the aviation industry and keeping in mind the reduction in capacity deployed, Kingfisher Airlines has effected a downward revision in the emoluments of a small pool of 50 trainee co-pilots. Theses pilots will continue to remain on the payroll of the company and will continue to enjoy all benefits & privileges given to other employees of the company,” said a Kingfisher Airlines official.

Kingfisher and Kingfisher Red combine have together cut back by nearly 100 flights a day.

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/Features/The_Sunday_ET/Special_Report/Dreams_grounded_Jet_Airways_Kingfisher_Airlines/articleshow/3641804.cms

Fitness notes: ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank


26 Oct, 2008, 0509 hrs IST,Aman Dhall, ET Bureau

ICICI Bank
Turnover: 7,892 cr (Jun ’08) (In Rs)


The country’s largest private bank’s focus right now is to proactively respond to the slowdown looming over the Indian financial system. The bank intends to trim its current retail credit exposure and tighten lending norms.

It, however, remains on track on its plans to extend its rural footprint, improve technology and strengthen customer service.

But strategy is not the only worry for the country’s largest private bank.

With its archrival, HDFC Bank closing the gap, the bank is in danger of losing its numero uno position. Already, HDFC Bank’s market capitalisation is running neck on neck with ICICI Bank on Dalal Street.

Ever since the financial crisis broke out, the bank has lost more than Rs 30,000 crore valuation on the Bombay Stock Exchange.

For Chintamani, mascot of ICICI Bank, there’s a lot to introspect and answer in the coming days!


HDFC Bank
Turnover: 3,622 cr (Jun ’08) (In Rs)

For India’s second largest private bank, it’s been a case of slow and steady wins the race. The bank, with its consistent performance, has even made slowdown appear like a business opportunity.

The Aditya Puri-managed HDFC Bank has its strategy outlined — to become a one-stop shop for meeting a customer’s entire requirements.

The bank doesn’t have any immediate plans to make its international operations a large balance sheet play, and the focus primarily remains to maintain its growth domestically.

It intends to leverage organic growth to maintain its strong grip in mobilisations and fee income market.

On competition, an industry source says: “While rabbit (ICICI Bank) has a lot at stake, it’s everything to gain for tortoise (HDFC Bank). The rivalry will reach its peak once tortoise wins the race, and has to defend his title.”
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/Features/The_Sunday_ET/Special_Report/Fitness_notes_ICICI_Bank_HDFC_Bank/articleshow/3641814.cms

Booster shot needed: Ranbaxy Labs, Dr Reddy’s


26 Oct, 2008, 0452 hrs IST,Amitabh Baxi, ET Bureau

Ranbaxy Labs
Turnover: 6,692 cr (Dec ’07)


With Ranbaxy Laboratories’ board approving an allotment of preferential shares and warrants to Daiichi Sankyo Co, the Japanese drug maker has acquired a 52.5% stake in Ranbaxy.

The top Indian pharma company now expects to assimilate the available synergies of both partners to exponentially enhance the overall scope, scale and effectiveness of the business.

According to Malvinder Mohan Singh, CEO & MD, Ranbaxy: “The substantial cash being infused by Daiichi at this stage will be used to expand our business aggressively through the organic and inorganic routes while significantly strengthening our balance sheet, making it leveragable for newer initiatives.”

Emerging markets, niche and specialty segments...there’s a lot new on Ranbaxy’s horizon this year.


Dr Reddy’s
Turnover: 3,386 cr (Mar ’08)

Export-driven Indian pharma companies such as DRL are facing stiff pricing pressure as more drug makers enter into the generics space. Compounding this now is the global financial meltdown.

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories reported worse-than-expected 52% drop in second quarter net profit due to forex losses, continued pricing pressures in Germany and the global financial crisis.

“The financial turmoil has impacted the pharma industry in terms of CPS business, with firms shrinking their outsourcing contracts,” according to G V Prasad, vice-chairman and CEO, DRL.

The downturn may, however, favour the generics market as branded formulations become more expensive, feel pharma experts.
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/Features/The_Sunday_ET/Special_Report/Booster_shot_needed_Ranbaxy_Labs_Dr_Reddys/articleshow/3641802.cms

Feeling the liquidity heat: DLF, Unitech


26 Oct, 2008, 0434 hrs IST,Neha Dewan, ET Bureau

DLF
Turnover: 1,278 cr (Jun ’08)


The realty sector has been one of the worst hit in the face of slowdown. High interest rates and a severe cash crunch have hit realty companies hard.

But for India’s largest real estate developer, DLF, the going is still steady. With a land bank spread over 32 cities, the realtor continues to tap emerging markets.

Operating across various verticals of real estate, the realtor has carved a distinct niche for itself over the years.

Differentiation and identifying growing avenues ahead of competition has made the real estate developer a market leader.

It announced a profit of Rs 18.64 billion during the first quarter of fiscal year 2008, a growth of 23% from the corresponding period last year.


Unitech
Turnover: 740 cr (Jun ’08)

Unitech, the second largest listed real estate developer in India, has a pan-India presence.

With a land back of about 16,000 acres, the developer also has major infrastructure construction projects to its credit.

However, in times of a slowdown, the realtor has changed its product portfolio.

“Our focus has been more on affordable housing in range of Rs 40 lakh-Rs 70 lakh in NCR. The demand is more in this segment now and has slowed down in luxury apartments,” says a Unitech spokesperson.

The realtor is, however, facing a severe cash crunch. Recent media reports said that the realtor has defaulted on two payments worth Rs 150 cr to the Greater Noida Authority on a housing project.


Dengue: Who will stop the spread?

Hospitals as breeding grounds
Statesman News Service
KOLKATA, Oct. 24: How effective is the notice served by the Kolkata Municipal Corporation (KMC) to most state-run and Central hospitals asking them to clear stagnant water from their hospital premises?
The Statesman found that while some hospitals like Lady Dufferin Victoria Hospital and BR Singh Hospital have taken pains to get rid of stagnant water, other state-run hospitals like Calcutta Medical College and Hospital (CMCH), NRS Medical College and SSKM Hospital have simply ignored both the KMC's notice and the motionless water in their premises.
Stagnant water could be seen beside the maternity ward of CMCH, near the surgery department of NRS Medical College and near the orthopaedic department of SSKM Hospital, providing suitable conditions for mosquito breeding. Hospital authorities, however, claimed they have already informed the Public Works Department (PWD) to clear up the water within the premises after receiving the KMC notice.
Dr Lakhikanta Ghosh, medical superintendent of NRS Medical College and Hospital said: “After receiving the notice we have sent our sweepers to clear the stagnant water within our premises.”
Dr Ashok Ghosh, medical superintendent of SSKM Hospital said: “We have already informed the PWD to clear up the drains as well as the stagnant water to eliminate existing and potential breeding of mosquitoes inside our campus.”
Some hospital authorities even said the civic body keeps sending such notices at regular intervals even though they do not have stale water in the hospital. Dr Anup Roy, medical superintendent of CMCH said: “The civic body keeps sending such notices, so this is not a new development. We do not have stagnant water or garbage dump at our hospital premise.” A senior official of Lady Dufferin Victoria Hospital said: “We routinely clean our hospital premise and PWD has cleared the mess three days back.”
Relatives of a patient who were staying outside the maternity department of Calcutta Medical College and Hospital said they had not seen any cleaners since Monday morning. Mrs Shyamali Roy said: “Till Monday morning we have not seen any sweepers cleaning the drains. Drains were covered with filth.”

Facts about figures...
KOLKATA, Oct. 24: The civic health department seems reluctant in declaring the actual figure of people afflicted with malaria and that too at a time when the civic body is boasting of bringing into effect the Citizens’ Charter to help citizens.
The wish to present a rosy picture of the outbreak of malaria in the city has led civic officials to withhold facts and figures leading to confusion about the actual number of afflicted people. In one such incident, mayor Mr Bikash Ranjan Bhattacharyya had to ask his chief municipal health officer (CMHO), Dr Deb Dwaipayan Chattopadhyay to re-check and present updated figures of affected people in the city.
Civic doctors said that as per initial reports presented to Mr Bhattacharyya the number of afflicted figures stood at 650 till Wednesday. Discrepancies arose after some deputy chief municipal health officers (CMHOs) on Wednesday brought the discrepancies to the mayor’s notice. According to them the number of afflicted stood at over 1,400.
After a fresh report was presented to the mayor on Thursday it was said that the number of afflicted stood at 1,496. However, it was stated that the number of affected figures included those from pathological and private laboratories.
“The idea that the CMHO intends to present to the mayor is that there has been no such serious outbreak of malaria in the city. However, the actual scenario is not so rosy. Various malaria clinics of KMC have already reported a high number of patients coming in for treatment,” a civic doctor said. However, the controversy over the figures refuses to die down. It has now been alleged by a section of civic officials that the number of afflicted do not include any figures from the pathological laboratories. According to another report of the civic body, the reports received from the various clinics of the civic body, the number of affected patients upto September this year stands at 1,496.
n Abhishek Law

Notices served, action awaited
KOLKATA, Oct. 24: Notices served by the Kolkata Municipal Corporation to state government hospitals, residential buildings and business establishments where mosquito larvae were found in underground reservoirs and overhead tanks have proved to be nothing but an eyewash.
Over the past one decade the civic authorities had issued countless notices but action was taken against 10 establishments including residential buildings only. The civic authorities can impose a fine of Rs 500 or disconnect the water supply which, however, is restored the moment the fine is paid. It can clean the overhead tanks or underground reservoirs and can ask the owner to pay the cost of cleaning. Interestingly, the KMC has not cleaned a single underground reservoir and asked its owner to pay the cost. The civic authorities have again issued notices to several state government hospitals over the past few days following outbreak of vector-borne diseases in the city.
A senior official of KMC's health department said neither it has man power nor the will to combat the menace seriously. A team that visits a building be it a state or Central government establishment or privately owned never takes the pain to follow up the matter. Not only the overhead tanks and underground reservoirs, the team is supposed to check flower pots, air conditioners, water containers and filters as well. According to norms the water tanks should be emptied and cleaned and civic authorities should visit the building for three consecutive days. n Tarun Goswami

http://www.thestatesman.net/page.news.php?clid=23&theme=&usrsess=1&id=228340


City’s top hospitals breeding grounds of mosquitoes
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Pragya Paramita
Posted: Oct 21, 2008 at 0240 hrs IST

Kolkata, October 20 More than 48 hours have passed since the Kolkata Municipal Corporation (KMC) served notices to four leading hospitals of the city after they were found to be breeding grounds for mosquitoes. But hospital authorities are yet to clean up the mess.
While three of the four hospitals — Lady Dufferin Hospital, BR Singh Hospital, NRS Medical College and Hospital and ESI Hospital in Kankurgachi — remained indifferent, NRS Medical College and

Hospital officials said that they were yet to receive the KMC notice.

“The civic body keeps sending such notices, so this is not a new development. We do not have stagnant water or garbage dump in our hospital premises,” said Dr RK Mondol, Medical Superintendent of B R Singh Hospital.

However, when The Indian Express team visited B R Singh Hospital, it witnessed a different scene. Although the premises had been cleaned superficially, they were greeted by a leaking tap that had formed a puddle in the toilet.

At the NRS Medical College and Hospital, the team found filthy drains and unused construction materials lying around the campus.

Pobitro Rai, relative of a patient, who has been staying outside the centenary building of the NRS Hospital for the last eight days said, “I have not seen any cleaners since Saturday morning. Drains are brimming with filth and there are so many mosquitoes here.”

A Group D employee of NRS Hospital said the hospital was seldom cleaned in spite of having enough number of sweepers.

“Hospital grounds are still overflowing with garbage. The area behind the staff quarters is the worse affected and it is not a surprise that people here are suffering from malaria,” he commented.

Tanya Mondol, a senior official of The Lady Dufferin Hospital, said the KMC notice was not served to the hospital, but to the PWD team working within its premises.

“We routinely clean our hospital. The PWD has cleaned up its mess two days ago,” she said.

The civic body, meanwhile, said it would take legal action against The Lady Duferrin Hospital authorites. Civic officials said the hospital was sent similar notices thrice before, but nothing was done to clean the premises.
http://www.expressindia.com/latest-news/citys-top-hospitals-breeding-grounds-of-mosquitoes/375920/

West Bengal cautions puja revelers on HIV

Saturday, 04 October , 2008, 15:36

Kolkata: As West Bengal gears up to celebrate the mega festival of Durga Puja, health authorities and some NGOs are cautioning youth about the risk of contracting sexually transmitted diseases like HIV/AIDS during the five nights and days of revelry.

Owing to the trend of high alcohol consumption and a carefree lifestyle during the puja days beginning October 5, sexually transmitted health disorders among youngsters could go up, they say.

Engineering students achieve AIDS breakthrough

"It's true, the young population is more susceptible to HIV/AIDS on festivals. Youngsters often tend to lead a reckless life because of the sudden change in their daily routine and the leniency shown by their parents on such occasions," D N Goswami, West Bengal State AIDS Prevention and Control Society (WBSAPCS) Programme Officer, said.

"Generally, on festive days young members are given some amount of freedom by their families. They don't have to follow family restrictions and they can spend the nights with their friends outside.

"They often drink to celebrate. Excessive drinking develops into a tendency to visit red light areas which makes them more vulnerable to STD," Goswami said.

There are about 12 red light pockets in the city in addition to the large concentration of sex workers in Sonagachi.

The total number of registered AIDS cases in West Bengal stood at 3,888 till March 2007, while India has 2.5 million HIV/AIDS cases.

Tarit Chakraborty, president of the Bengal Network of Positive People (BNP+), an NGO working with the HIV/AIDS cases, said: "We've observed that susceptibility among the young generation increases because of brothel visits and unsafe sex. Most of them, especially in an inebriated state, are not very careful about using condoms."

'Condom Condom' ringtone supports India's AIDS campaign

BNP+, with more than 4,500 members across the state, is dealing with thousands of cases of STD infections in West Bengal since 2001.

"We've also seen many people who stay in other states - like Maharashtra, Gujarat and Andhra Pradesh - come to West Bengal during the pujas. They are also very potent carriers of HIV and facilitate the spread of sexually transmitted infections," said Chakraborty, who is also the regional coordinator of Indian Network of Positive People.

"Drug abuse also increases during this time," he added.

According to the 2001 Census, people aged 15-24 years constituted 18.28 percent of West Bengal's 80 million-plus population.

West Bengal Health Director Sanchita Bakshi said: "In the festive season, of course, there is a serious risk factor of getting infected by sexually transmitted diseases.

"There's no study available with the government about the HIV prevalence rate in the particular season. But the government and a number of NGOs are working in tandem to disseminate awareness during the coming puja festival by launching extensive campaigns in all major pandals," she said.

Chakraborty said: "We are also trying to carry out a state-wide campaign against HIV infection. We've formed a music band and a drama team with our own members - all of them positive cases. We conduct stage shows to make people aware about this ailment.

"Our performances are based on true stories and we try to draw a picture of the physical and mental suffering one faces after getting infected," he added.

Do you have an HIV+ kid? Donate to this orphanage

The first case of HIV infection in West Bengal was detected in 1986. In the last few years, HIV has spread to the general population and is no longer restricted to the most at-risk groups.

A study by the National Behavioural Surveillance Survey (NBSS) in 2001 revealed that 66.40 percent of female and 78.10 percent of the male respondents of the state's urban areas had knowledge about the sexual route of HIV transmission.

But in the rural areas, the corresponding figures were much lower at 32.30 percent for females and 56.60 percent for males.

"I think India is, in many ways, ‘sui generis’ in that regard," she added.
http://sify.com/news/fullstory.php?id=14770666

Chikungunya, dengue cases in Kolkata, surrounding areas



Staff Reporter



Steps being taken to check their spread





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17 test positive for chikungunya in South 24 Parganas

Three positive cases of dengue in Howrah district


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KOLKATA: There have been reports of chikungunya and dengue affecting people in the city and some surrounding districts and steps are being taken by the local health authorities to check the spread of the diseases.

One person has died of dengue in the city on September 24.

So far 17 persons tested positive for chikungunya in South 24 Parganas district near here, its district magistrate, Sanghamitra Ghosh, said on Friday.

She said steps such as organising mobile medical camps, spraying DDT in the affected areas and spreading awareness among people are being undertaken in the district.

“The death of a thirteen-year-old boy in the Howrah district from high fever on Wednesday triggered off panic of chikungunya but no trace of the parasite was found in the boy’s blood sample,” said district magistrate Khalil Ahmed. Three positive cases of dengue have been reported from the district, he added.

Dengue fever has claimed the life of an eight-year-old girl in the city and the Kolkata Municipal Corporation (KMC) has also received reports of suspected cases of chikungunya through the authorities felt that the situation was not alarming.

“Though several cases of chikungunya are being reported, none proved to be positive after blood tests were conducted on the patients,” said Subodh Kumar Dey, member of mayor-in-council (health) of the KMC.

So far 55 cases of dengue reported from the city have been found to be positive, he added.

Anti-larval operations


Health workers were carrying out anti-larval operations in the affected wards and the civic authorities have also organised awareness campaigns across the city to prevent the spread of the disease.

http://www.hindu.com/2008/10/18/stories/2008101853550700.htm

Action call over maternal deaths

Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest rates of mortality in childbirth
Urgent action is needed to reduce the number of women dying during pregnancy and childbirth, the World Health Organization has said.

Its director of maternal health, Dr Franciso Songanem, said funding needed to be better co-ordinated.

And he admitted the 2015 target to reduce maternal deaths by 75% from 1990 levels was likely to be missed.

Analysis in 2007 show rates have changed little - latest figures show 500,000 women are dying each year.

The research by Harvard University, shows that between 1990 and 2005 mortality rates fell at less than 1% per year.

Urgent global action is needed to increase investment and political commitment to scale up these life-saving services for mothers and their children

Dr Franciso Songane, of the World Health Organization

The study said unsafe abortions, haemorrhaging and problems delivering were the major causes.

Dr Songane, director of the WHO's Partnership for Maternal, Newborn and Child Health, said maternal deaths were still far too common and the 2015 target was "unlikely to be met".

"Some 99% of maternal deaths occur in the poorest communities of the world. Most deaths could be prevented and solutions exist, but are not available to those who need them most.

"Urgent global action is needed to increase investment and political commitment to scale up these life-saving services for mothers and their children."

He said the solution lay in more investment and directing funds to local projects that could make a difference.

He cited a project in Matlab in the south of Bangladesh run by the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, which is featured in the BBC World series Survival.

Nine in 10 women in Bangladesh give birth at home without any medical intervention, with more than one in 50 dying.

The scheme trains local women to offer advice about diet, run ante-natal classes and help deliver babies.

Dr Muhammad Yunnus, who is helping to run the project, said: "We have to give all women a better chance of surviving childbirth."


Survival is being broadcast on BBC World on Saturdays and Sundays until 9 November.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/health/7690434.stm

Women's health fuelling poverty

Tackling female health would not only save millions of lives but reduce global poverty, experts say.
The United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) says 99% of maternal deaths are preventable yet every minute a woman dies from pregnancy-related causes.

This loss impacts not only on the family and society, but also on the economy, its latest report says.

UNFPA says investment in reproductive health and gender equality could spur growth and sustainable development.

Preventable killers

An estimated 529,000 women died from complications of pregnancy and childbirth in 2000, virtually all in developing countries.

For every woman who dies, roughly 20 more suffer serious injury or disability - between 8 million and 20 million a year.

Experts agree that the majority of maternal deaths are preventable through family planning to reduce unintended pregnancies, skilled attendance at all deliveries and timely emergency obstetric care in all cases where complications arise.


If women are healthy then they can jump start the life of their family and the economy

Executive director of UNFPA Thoraya Obaid


Being pregnant in Africa


One of the eight Millennium Development Goals set by world experts in 2000 was to reduce by three quarters the maternal mortality ratio by 2015.

Major reductions in the number of deaths have taken place in countries with either low or moderate levels of maternal mortality. Similar progress, however, has not been made in countries where maternal mortality is high.

Executive director of UNFPA Thoraya Obaid said: "The problem is implementation and monitoring implementation.

"You have to spend more on healthcare and on looking after women.

"If women are healthy then they can jump start the life of their family and the economy."

She called for the "utterly immoral" gap between the reproductive health of rich and poor women to be closed.

"In no other area of health are the disparities between rich and poor so wide and the tragic consequences so utterly immoral," she told a news conference at the Foreign Press Association in London to launch a population report .

HIV/Aids

She said another big area of health affecting women was HIV/Aids.

Worldwide, young women aged 15-24 are 1.6 times as likely as young men to be HIV positive.

"In Africa, HIV/Aids has a young woman's face and many of them are married. It is their husband who brings HIV into the house.

Part of the problem is that developing countries are facing critical shortfalls of contraceptives and condoms.

She said that in sub-Saharan Africa: "One man has access to six condoms a year. Certainly that is not sufficient to protect against HIV."

Giving mothers, babies and children the care they need is an absolute imperative

Dr Lee Jong-Wook, director general of WHO

She believes the solution to the HIV problem is combination of sex education, abstinence, couples remaining faithful to their partners and greater use of condoms.

Other gender inequalities that need to be addressed include violence, education and human rights, says UNFPA.

"When women are educated, healthy and employed, and able to make decisions about childbearing and reproductive life, everyone benefits," it says.

The World Health Organization has already warned that unless concerted effort is undertaken to meet global healthcare goals, the 2015 deadline set by the governments of the world will be missed.

Its World Health Report 2005, back in April, said being poor or being a woman was often a reason for being discriminated against.

WHO's director general Dr Lee Jong-Wook said: "Giving mothers, babies and children the care they need is an absolute imperative."

Deborah Jack, chief executive of the National AIDS Trust said: "The UNFPA is right to focus on the need for greater effort to tackle gender inequality.

"Worldwide, millions of women are unable to protect themselves from HIV infection due to lack of prevention methods that can be controlled by women, causing unneccessary suffering and death. "One of the most urgent actions is to increase funding for microbicide and vaccine development and invest in education that will ensure they are accepted within communities."



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Your comments:

This is not about birth rates, this is about the lack of meaningful investment in proper medical care, hygiene, education, and proper nutrition. If you think the forced abortions in China are superior to democracy, I'm surprised you even care about starving millions.
Mrs Stokes, Redditch, UK


A progressive society can be measured by the way that its women are treated

Needa M, Philadephia PA
Women are the bearers of new life. In order to protect future lives we must protect women. Promoting women's health physically and mentally should be a top priority internationally. A progressive society can be measured by the way that its women are treated. If women are healthy then their children and families will have a greater chance of also being healthy and productive. There is no excuse for this grave human inequality. Women should no longer be valued as second class citizens.
Needa M, Philadephia PA

It is sad seeing mothers and kids dying every minute from a cause that can be prevented. As a student nurse, I am hoping one day I can pass on the knowledge to other women who are in the situation.
Vivian, Uesund, Norway

If all the money that has been poured into aid for third-world countries was used for contraception, there would be no hunger in the world today. Forget about saving the starving millions, you cannot even dent the surface. Stop the runaway birth rate and a couple of generations will see the answer. China is leading the way- democracy is preventing governments from making the difficult decisions
Devon Fletcher, Australia

Self supporting , self sufficient , independent and educated. This should be the mantra for women today. Only then can we hope to see a change in the situation.
Karl Irani, Bombay, India

These are such very basic common-sense recommendations that it's appalling they're not already in place. Compare the situation to the US, where we have all these measures (or, at least, the middle classes and rich do), but where the powerful "religious right" is lobbying to take them away.
Kaz, Briton in NJ, USA

I think we should see more articles like this. Women's health has always been at the bottom of everyone's list. Articles like this bring to the fore front the seriousness of this issue. The reality that if women are not looked or looking after themselves our whole society pays the bill. We need to hear more on the subject.
Deirdrie Ellis, London Canada

Health is not a gender issue but a poverty issue. It effects men as women and depends on the area they live. For this to be seen as a woman issue is typical of the real discrimination. Western women will use this sort of article to further discriminate against men.
Peter Evans, Bristol

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/health/4331996.stm

Minorities differed on bill for communal harmony: PM
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Agencies
Posted: Oct 26, 2008 at 1153 hrs IST

.
On Board PM's Special Aircraft, October 25: The Government planned to introduce a Bill to promote communal harmony but the move has not succeeded because some minority communities have reservations over it, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said on Sunday.
"We prepared a Bill on communal harmony. The Bill was submitted to Parliament but several minority groups came back and said this is not a legislation that is to our liking," he said, adding that due to lack of consensus, the government had to halt the move.

"This was a legislation meant to apply some balm on the communal situation, but if the minority communities say they are not satisfied, if NGOs said they were not very happy, so there is this delay and we have not been able to resolve these tensions," Singh told reporters travelling with him to Japan and China.

Commenting on the Armed Forces Special Powers, Singh said it is true that in the wake of the Manipur agitation, the government had appointed a group to study the situation.

"But quite honestly, the situation in the North East, the situation in Manipur, even the government of Manipur which has withdrawn the Armed Forces Special Powers Act being applied to Imphal is also of the view that this cannot be done away with until the situation improves.

"We have problems in Jammu and Kashmir, we have problems in North East, therefore, I cannot take these risks with the security of our country," he added.

India should lift ban on LTTE: Prabhakaran
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Agencies
Posted: Oct 26, 2008 at 1535 hrs IST
Colombo, October 26: LTTE supremo V Prabhakaran has asked India to lift the ban on his outfit in order to “fulfil the aspirations of Tamil people," while admitting that Lankan forces have made inroads into the Tiger areas and were at the doorstep of their key town Kilinochchi.
"We expect that it (India) would lift the ban on our organisation and support us to fulfil the long awaited aspirations of the Tamil people," the 53-year old leader of the LTTE said in an interview.

Conceding that security forces had closed in on the rebel strongholds and had even entered key areas, Vellupillai Prabhakaran, however, said capturing the Tigers administrative capital Kilinochchi was still a distant dream for them.

"The Sri Lankan forces have entered parts of our homeland and are stationed in close proximity to Kilinochchi town. But, capturing Kilinochchi is just a day dream of (Sri Lankan President Mahinda) Rajapaksa," he said.

In an e-mail interview to Chennai based Tamil Magazine Nakkeeran, Prabhakaran hailed Tamil Nadu Chief Minister M Karunanidhi's stand of seeking quick relief measures for the displaced Tamils.

The LTTE leader also expressed dejection over AIADMK leader J Jayalalitha distancing herself from the Tamil problem, while praising other leaders of the state for taking up the ethnic issue in the island state.

"Tamil Nadu Chief Minister, Kalaignar is a Tamil nationalist. He has not only voiced his concern against the Sinhala state terrorism in Tamil Eelam, but has also showed it in action.

Dalai Lama 'gives up' on China, hints at retirement
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Agencies
Posted: Oct 26, 2008 at 1638 hrs IST
Dharamsala (HP), October 26: Hinting that he was planning to retire, the Dalai Lama has said he has ‘given up’ on efforts to convince China to allow greater autonomy for Tibet after having led the Tibetans' struggle for half a century.
"I have been sincerely pursuing the middle way approach in dealing with China for a long time now but there hasn't been any positive response from the Chinese side," the Tibetan temporal head said at a function in Dharamsala on Sunday ahead of the third round of talks between his envoys and Beijing.

"As far as I'm concerned I have given up," said the 73-year-old noble laureate, according to excerpts of the speech of the Tibetan monk provided by the office of Karma Cheophel, Speaker of Tibetan Parliament in-exile.

The Dalai Lama said he would now ask the Tibetan people to decide on how to take the dialogue forward.

Cheophel, who translated the speech of the Dalai Lama at the function, said, "Earlier he (the Dalai Lama) used to say that he is semi retired but now he says he is almost completely retired."

The Dalai Lama recently underwent a gall bladder surgery in Delhi.

The spiritual leader's spokesman Tenzin Takhla said on Sunday that the Dalai Lama has called a six-day special meeting of Tibetans at Macleodganj starting November 17 to discuss other options for resolving the vexed Tibetan issue.

The meeting is being attached great importance as this is for the third occasion after 1951 and 1959 that such a conclave has been organised.

After a failed uprising against Chinese, rule the Dalai Lama had fled to India in 1959.

The special meeting would be attended by officials of the Tibetan government in-exile here, intellectuals, social workers and people from different walks of life, Takhla said.

During the deliberations, alternate options would be discussed to take forward Tibetans struggle for solution of the vexed issue in view of the fact that China was not showing any ‘positive’ inclination to the Dalai Lama's middle way approach.

Takhla said the next round of talks between the special envoys of the Dalai Lama and Chinese authorities is expected by the end of October. He did not specify the dates.

Two rounds of inconclusive talks have been held between the two sides this year on resolving the Tibetan issue following massive pro-Tibet protests that threatened to overshadow Beijing Olympics.

On China repeatedly accusing the Dalai Lama of ‘masterminding’ protests in Tibet, Takhla said it was just an ‘excuse’ to keep the solution of the Tibetan issue at the backburner.

Beijing could send their representatives to Dharamsala, headquarters of the Tibetan government in exile, to go through our files, speeches of the temporal head and watch our daily activities, he said.


Dharamsala (HP), October 26:

Hinting that he was planning to retire, the Dalai Lama has said he has ‘given up’ on efforts to convince China to allow greater autonomy for Tibet after having led the Tibetans' struggle for half a century.

"I have been sincerely pursuing the middle way approach in dealing with China for a long time now but there hasn't been any positive response from the Chinese side," the Tibetan temporal head said at a function in Dharamsala on Sunday ahead of the third round of talks between his envoys and Beijing.

"As far as I'm concerned I have given up," said the 73-year-old noble laureate, according to excerpts of the speech of the Tibetan monk provided by the office of Karma Cheophel, Speaker of Tibetan Parliament in-exile.

The Dalai Lama said he would now ask the Tibetan people to decide on how to take the dialogue forward.

Cheophel, who translated the speech of the Dalai Lama at the function, said, "Earlier he (the Dalai Lama) used to say that he is semi retired but now he says he is almost completely retired."

The Dalai Lama recently underwent a gall bladder surgery in Delhi.

The spiritual leader's spokesman Tenzin Takhla said on Sunday that the Dalai Lama has called a six-day special meeting of Tibetans at Macleodganj starting November 17 to discuss other options for resolving the vexed Tibetan issue.

The meeting is being attached great importance as this is for the third occasion after 1951 and 1959 that such a conclave has been organised.

After a failed uprising against Chinese, rule the Dalai Lama had fled to India in 1959.

The special meeting would be attended by officials of the Tibetan government in-exile here, intellectuals, social workers and people from different walks of life, Takhla said.

During the deliberations, alternate options would be discussed to take forward Tibetans struggle for solution of the vexed issue in view of the fact that China was not showing any ‘positive’ inclination to the Dalai Lama's middle way approach.

Takhla said the next round of talks between the special envoys of the Dalai Lama and Chinese authorities is expected by the end of October. He did not specify the dates.

Two rounds of inconclusive talks have been held between the two sides this year on resolving the Tibetan issue following massive pro-Tibet protests that threatened to overshadow Beijing Olympics.

On China repeatedly accusing the Dalai Lama of ‘masterminding’ protests in Tibet, Takhla said it was just an ‘excuse’ to keep the solution of the Tibetan issue at the backburner.

Beijing could send their representatives to Dharamsala, headquarters of the Tibetan government in exile, to go through our files, speeches of the temporal head and watch our daily activities, he said.
Lanka Row: Karunanidhi withdraws pullout threat
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Agencies
Posted: Oct 26, 2008 at 2050 hrs IST
Chennai, October 26: Tamil Nadu Chief Minister M Karunanidhi has assured he would not precipitate a crisis for UPA Government over Sri Lankan Tamils issue as the Centre apprised him of steps being taken by the island nation's Governments to ensure safety of Tamil civilans in that country.
"The Chief Minister assured me that he will not precipitate any crisis for the UPA Government," External Affairs Minister Pranab Mukherjee told reporters after emerging from a meeting with Karunanidhi.
The assurance by Karunanidhi to Mukherjee after UPA Chairperson Sonia Gandhi spoke to the Chief Minister, assumed significance as DMK and some other Tamil Nadu parties had issued an ultimatum that all MPs from the state would resign if the Centre did not take steps to ensure a ceasefire in Sri Lanka's embattled north by October 29.
DMK and some of its allies have 24 members in Lok Sabha out of a total of 39 members from the state to the House.
He also said that he pointed out to the Chief Minister that a military solution will not resolve the problems of the ethnic minority in Sri Lanka.
Mukherjee said India will send around 800 tonnes of relief material to Sri Lanka for the affected civilians in the north of the island.
"The Sri Lankan Government has assured India that it will provide humanitarian aid to the displaced people in the country through International Red Cross, Government of India and UN agencies," he said.
Tamil Nadu Government will also mobilise relief material to affected Tamil civilians in the northern part of the island.

Indian Air Force lacks equipment, admits Antony
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Agencies
Posted: Oct 25, 2008 at 2129 hrs IST
Bangalore, October 25: With CAG indicting the Government over the vulnerability of the Indian air space to enemy attacks due to gaps in the air defence cover, Defence Minister A K Antony admitted there was a failure on his Ministry's part in not providing the necessary radars and equipment on time to the IAF.
"I don't dispute the fact that because of our failure in providing necessary radars and other equipment to our forces, there is some serious problem. We are lagging behind," Antony said on the sidelines of an air display of HAL-development aircraft.
However, Antony also tried to shift the blame for the gaps and the failure to erstwhile Congress and NDA Governments, pointing out that India had lived with the lack of radars for the last 17 years.
"The process of induction of radars and other equipment started in 1991. There are various reasons (for the delay). In the last 17 years, we were not able to provide necessary air defence equipment to the IAF. But these were in the past. Now I can tell you, there are problems. I agree with you," Antony said to queries on fixing responsibility for the gaps in the country's air defence.
India could have inducted most advanced radars much earlier, the Defence Minister said adding that only in the last few years has the process of induction of modern radars and equipment begun moving very fast.
WBCS officers to take legal action against Bengal govt
2008-10-26 [10:24:41 hrs]

A section of West Bengal Civil Service (WBCS) association on Saturday decided to seek legal redress over a government notification on seniority that allegedly favours officers promoted from allied services to the elite state cadre.


“The notification favours the promoted officers who are selected on the basis of experience from allied services rather than clearing the recruitment examination,” general secretary of the West Bengal State Civil Service (Executive) Association, Sutanu P rasad Kar, said at the end of the its convention here.
“Their seniority will be counted from the day the government decides to incorporate them into the elite cadre rather from their date of joining which happens much later,” he said. Half of the WBCS officers are directly recruited by an examination conduct ed by the state Public Service Commission, while the rest are promoted from allied services.
“The government should redress the anomalies in the notification or we will move the West Bengal Administrative Tribunal,” Kar said. The original WBCS Officers Association split in 2005 when the draft notification for seniority rules was published.
“We protested and demanded that these anomalies should be addressed, but the government went ahead with the draft notification to appease a section of officers,” joint secretary of the Association, Bidhan Roy, alleged.
Terming the benefits as “pathetic”, Kar said, “the salary and other perks are lower than the similar cadre officers of other states.”
GJM asks Madan Tamang to quit Darjeeling
2008-10-26 [10:42:54 hrs]

The Gorkha Janamukti Morcha today served an ultimatum to All India Gorkha League chief Madan Tamang to quit politics and leave Darjeeling by November 7 for his remarks that GJM President Bimal Gurung secretly met West Bengal Home Secretary before calling off a recent agitation for creating a separate statehood.


Around 1000 supporters of GJM, which had earlier this year forced GNLF chief Subhas Ghising to leave the hills, gheroed Tamang's residence at Batasi in Darjeeling this afternoon and shouted slogans against him, Superintendent of Police Rahul Srivastava said.
The police led by a deputy superintendent reached the spot and dispersed the agitators, Srivastava said.
The GJM supporters also gheraoed the AIGL office on Ring Road in the hill town claiming that Tamang had defamed the party chief.
GJM General Secretary Roshan Giri said Tamang had claimed yesterday that the party chief had met state home secretary Asok Mohan Chakraborty on October 11 "secretly" in Darjeeling.
Tamang had claimed that Gurung had gone to meet the home secretary in a car with Sikkim number plates. He alleged that after the meeting, Gurung called off the agitation for changing car registration plates to 'GL' and replacing West Bengal government signboards with 'Government of Gorkhaland' in Darjeeling.
Giri said the GJM had decided to suspend the agitation at the request of Governor Gopalkrishna Gandhi on October 22.
He demanded that Tamang, whom he claimed was an 'agent' of the state government and the CPI(M), should prove his allegation or quit the hills by November 7 after giving up politics.

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